Sunday, January 2, 2011

End of Regular Season Super Bowl Chances

We finally know the playoff teams and with that my computer can crunch all the scenarios that may happen and the chances of each.  The result is I have the chances of each team making it to and winning the Super Bowl.

Without further adieu, here it is.

TeamGet toWin
New_England0.4910.318
Pittsburgh0.3150.179
Atlanta0.4240.175
Chicago0.2880.112
Green_Bay0.1280.062
Baltimore0.0700.039
NY_Jets0.0640.034
New_Orleans0.0810.028
Philadelphia0.0600.021
Indianapolis0.0370.015
Kansas_City0.0230.008
Seattle0.0140.003

No surprise that the Patriots are the favorite, nearly a 50% chance of getting to the Super Bowl and over 30% chance of winning it.  Interestingly, even though Pittsburgh has a slimmer chance of getting there than Atlanta, they have a better chance of winning it.