Monday, January 3, 2011

Orange Bowl Preview

The Orange Bowl will take place on 1/3 pitting Stanford against Virginia Tech.

Stanford is ranked #2 by the computer with a 11-1 record and a rating of 87.458 against a schedule strength of 72.868.  Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were up and down early then finished strong, their worst game being against Washington State and best game being against Oregon State.  They are 7-4 against the spread this year and the computer is 3-8 picking their games against the spread and 10-1 picking winners in their games.

chart?chs=800x375&cht=lc&chco=000000,0000FF,00FF00,FF0000,00FFFF,FFFF00&chxt=x,y&chls=0|1|0|0|1|0&chdl=Current|Weekly|Win|Loss|Schedule|Opponent&chdlp=t&chds=30,110&chtt=2 Stanford 87.458&chd=t:-1,83.105,89.616,84.758,94.313,75.924,75.501,-1,71.524,94.501,92.816,84.717,94.513,95.008,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1|76.909,75.372,81.237,87.354,95.202,88.972,84.873,85.962,82.317,83.177,85.628,84.123,86.209,86.994,86.978,87.006,87.211,87.148,87.458|-1|-1|70.226,49.577,61.156,65.776,66.961,73.808,73.808,74.387,70.572,70.011,70.885,71.460,72.371,72.454,72.364,72.407,72.649,72.578,72.868|-1,-1,68.043,61.266,75.626,91.660,76.490,-1,64.513,73.385,75.342,77.706,74.152,74.977,-1,-1,-1,-1,-1&chxl=0:||SacramentoSt|@UCLA|WF|@ND|@Oregon|USC|bye|WSU|@Wash|Ariz|@ASU|@Cal|OrSt|bye|bye|bye|bye|bye|1:|30|50|70|90|110&chm=o,00FF00,0,01,14,1|o,00FF00,0,02,27,1|o,00FF00,0,03,14,1|o,00FF00,0,04,34,1|o,FF0000,0,05,36,1|o,00FF00,0,06,29,1|o,00FF00,0,08,17,1|o,00FF00,0,09,32,1|o,00FF00,0,10,28,1|o,00FF00,0,11,36,1|o,00FF00,0,12,33,1|o,00FF00,0,13,28,1|x,0000FF,1,-1,8,1|x,00FFFF,4,-1,8,1|d,FFFF00,5,-1,20,1|t31,0000FF,1,01,15,1|t10,0000FF,1,02,15,1|t3,0000FF,1,03,15,1|t1,0000FF,1,04,15,1|t3,0000FF,1,05,15,1|t7,0000FF,1,06,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,07,15,1|t6,0000FF,1,08,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,09,15,1|t3,0000FF,1,10,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,11,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,12,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,13,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,14,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,15,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,16,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,17,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,18,15,1|t91,00FFFF,4,01,15,1|t69,00FFFF,4,02,15,1|t48,00FFFF,4,03,15,1|t39,00FFFF,4,04,15,1|t4,00FFFF,4,05,15,1|t8,00FFFF,4,06,15,1|t7,00FFFF,4,07,15,1|t15,00FFFF,4,08,15,1|t12,00FFFF,4,09,15,1|t8,00FFFF,4,10,15,1|t8,00FFFF,4,11,15,1|t8,00FFFF,4,12,15,1|t7,00FFFF,4,13,15,1|t8,00FFFF,4,14,15,1|h,000000,0,0.72,1,1

Virginia Tech is ranked #9 by the computer with a 11-2 record and a rating of 81.256 against a schedule strength of 67.308.  Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were were actually quite consistent other than the JMU game, their worst game being against James Madison and best game being against North Carolina State.  They are 8-3 against the spread this year and the computer is 3-9 picking their games against the spread and 9-3 picking winners in their games.

chart?chs=800x375&cht=lc&chco=000000,0000FF,00FF00,FF0000,00FFFF,FFFF00&chxt=x,y&chls=0|1|0|0|1|0&chdl=Current|Weekly|Win|Loss|Schedule|Opponent&chdlp=t&chds=30,110&chtt=9 Virginia_Tech 81.256&chd=t:-1,81.641,51.617,78.235,86.531,90.014,75.174,81.315,83.457,-1,70.969,86.751,88.296,82.806,89.703,-1,-1,-1,-1|83.722,82.550,77.172,78.408,78.393,80.491,79.668,78.042,76.828,76.174,75.446,77.056,79.030,79.368,80.559,80.659,80.738,80.732,81.256|-1|-1|73.107,84.379,77.622,73.945,72.276,72.868,70.036,67.068,64.293,63.504,63.569,64.568,65.925,65.739,66.782,66.874,66.949,66.938,67.308|-1,84.630,-1,61.515,69.051,76.003,57.311,61.266,62.546,-1,66.958,70.405,72.800,63.225,78.692,-1,-1,-1,-1&chxl=0:||BoiseSt|JamesMadison|ECU|@BC|@NCSt|CMich|WF|Duke|bye|GT|@UNC|@MiamiFl|UVa|FSU|bye|bye|bye|bye|1:|30|50|70|90|110&chm=o,FF0000,0,01,40,1|o,FF0000,0,02,43,1|o,00FF00,0,03,20,1|o,00FF00,0,04,34,1|o,00FF00,0,05,41,1|o,00FF00,0,06,16,1|o,00FF00,0,07,20,1|o,00FF00,0,08,21,1|o,00FF00,0,10,26,1|o,00FF00,0,11,35,1|o,00FF00,0,12,38,1|o,00FF00,0,13,22,1|o,00FF00,0,14,40,1|x,0000FF,1,-1,8,1|x,00FFFF,4,-1,8,1|d,FFFF00,5,-1,20,1|t4,0000FF,1,01,15,1|t22,0000FF,1,02,15,1|t18,0000FF,1,03,15,1|t20,0000FF,1,04,15,1|t14,0000FF,1,05,15,1|t20,0000FF,1,06,15,1|t24,0000FF,1,07,15,1|t23,0000FF,1,08,15,1|t23,0000FF,1,09,15,1|t24,0000FF,1,10,15,1|t18,0000FF,1,11,15,1|t16,0000FF,1,12,15,1|t14,0000FF,1,13,15,1|t10,0000FF,1,14,15,1|t10,0000FF,1,15,15,1|t11,0000FF,1,16,15,1|t11,0000FF,1,17,15,1|t9,0000FF,1,18,15,1|t5,00FFFF,4,01,15,1|t8,00FFFF,4,02,15,1|t8,00FFFF,4,03,15,1|t10,00FFFF,4,04,15,1|t9,00FFFF,4,05,15,1|t27,00FFFF,4,06,15,1|t40,00FFFF,4,07,15,1|t69,00FFFF,4,08,15,1|t69,00FFFF,4,09,15,1|t72,00FFFF,4,10,15,1|t58,00FFFF,4,11,15,1|t51,00FFFF,4,12,15,1|t60,00FFFF,4,13,15,1|t53,00FFFF,4,14,15,1|h,000000,0,0.64,1,1

The teams are separated by 2 degrees through Wake Forest as follows:

2 Stanford-->Wake_Forest-->Virginia_Tech
3 Stanford-->Notre_Dame-->Boston_College-->Virginia_Tech
3 Stanford-->Oregon_St-->Boise_St-->Virginia_Tech
3 Stanford-->Southern_Cal-->Virginia-->Virginia_Tech
3 Stanford-->Wake_Forest-->Boston_College-->Virginia_Tech
3 Stanford-->Wake_Forest-->Duke-->Virginia_Tech
3 Stanford-->Wake_Forest-->Florida_St-->Virginia_Tech
3 Stanford-->Wake_Forest-->Georgia_Tech-->Virginia_Tech
3 Stanford-->Wake_Forest-->North_Carolina_St-->Virginia_Tech

Against Wake Forest, Stanford won 68-24 at home and Virginia Tech won 52-21 at home.

The spread is Stanford by 3 and the computer agrees picking them by 6.3.  Here is the pick using the format from the newsletter:

 *Stanford              -3.0 over ..        Virginia Tech  6.3  3.3 0.740 0.633

Enjoy!