NFL Ratings and Rankings after first round of playoffs

The wildcard games are complete and there were a few surprises, certainly one big one, but really no changes to the top-rated teams.  My computer's picks went 3-1 against the spread so a good start to the playoffs.

The rankings are below, but the top-8 teams stay the same with very little movement in the ratings.  Baltimore made the biggest move improving 0.77 points but couldn't catch Pittsburgh at #3.  And the top-7 teams are all still in the playoffs, plus #29 Seattle!

Yes, Seattle pulled the upset, but when you look at their performance chart (below), perhaps it shouldn't have been a complete surprise.  Seattle was either pretty to very good (7, now 8, game ratings at 80 or above, a few in the mid-80s to 90s) or very bad.  Their rating coming in, the average of all this, in fact doesn't overlap any of their individual game ratings.  So if the good Seattle showed up, roughly a 50/50 proposition and better than that at home, they would play to about an 87 rating and New Orleans coming in was at 83, so a good Seattle was in fact the pick to win!

Stay tuned for the picks for the divisional round, and if you are a subscriber you'll get the detailed preview.

Enjoy!

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
1	New England	90.928	14-2	82.974	+0, +0.135
2	Green Bay	88.161	11-6	82.575	+0, +0.311
3	Pittsburgh	87.520	12-4	82.001	+0, +0.113
4	Baltimore	87.222	13-4	81.723	+0, +0.770
5	NY Jets	86.572	12-5	82.943	+0, +0.231
6	Atlanta	85.846	13-3	80.025	+0, +0.028
7	Chicago	84.768	11-5	81.859	+0, +0.104
8	Philadelphia	82.992	10-7	81.427	+0, -0.242
9	Indianapolis	82.742	10-7	80.505	+1, -0.191
10	San Diego	82.595	9-7	78.826	+1, -0.074
11	New Orleans	82.394	11-6	79.728	-2, -0.678
12	NY Giants	82.241	10-6	80.174	+0, +0.002
13	Tampa Bay	82.037	10-6	79.822	+0, +0.026
14	Detroit	81.863	6-10	82.911	+0, +0.066
15	Miami	81.590	7-9	83.785	+0, +0.135
16	Minnesota	80.242	6-10	83.045	+1, +0.030
17	Cleveland	80.089	5-11	82.868	+2, +0.078
18	Oakland	80.028	8-8	79.098	+0, -0.070
19	Kansas City	80.010	10-7	78.786	-3, -0.593
20	Dallas	79.860	6-10	81.092	+0, -0.085
21	Tennessee	79.608	6-10	80.656	+0, -0.113
22	Houston	79.141	6-10	81.007	+0, -0.065
23	Cincinnati	78.957	4-12	83.427	+0, +0.073
24	Jacksonville	78.649	8-8	80.122	+0, -0.103
25	Buffalo	78.553	4-12	84.104	+1, +0.093
26	Washington	78.425	6-10	81.527	-1, -0.038
27	St Louis	77.029	7-9	78.172	+0, -0.003
28	San Francisco	77.021	6-10	79.040	+0, +0.014
29	Seattle	76.132	8-9	78.745	+0, +0.604
30	Denver	74.175	4-12	79.935	+0, -0.033
31	Arizona	72.579	5-11	78.717	+0, +0.013
32	Carolina	71.916	2-14	81.507	+0, +0.062