Friday, February 19, 2016

Previewing the PNW 40 & over USTA League - The season starts tonight

Schedules are out and the 2016 40+ season in the Seattle area starts this weekend.

With that, I thought I'd take a look at a few sub-flights to see who the favorites are.

For the Women, here is sub-flight A of the 3.5 level:

Team NameAverage Rating
MC-Wyer3.16
FC-Mullen3.16
STC-Kellogg3.16
GC-Holtzinger3.13
AYTC-Net Reactions-Aronson3.07
CP-Suk/Garnett3.07
ACES-Rasanen3.06
MI-Howell3.05
EDG-Kim-Juhn3.02
BAIN-Hills2.95

It looks very tight at the top with three teams tied at 3.16 and another close behind at 3.13.  This sub-flight could come down to the last few matches to decide the playoff teams.

And yes, these averages are correct.  While you'd think an average 3.5 team would be around 3.25, these teams are carrying 3.0's play up and that pulls the averages down.  I can generate reports on just the top-8 rated players on each team to get a better idea of which team is strongest when they play their best players.

The Men's 4.5+ sub-flight A has:

Team NameAverage Rating
STC-Rosen4.35
HBSQ-Anderson4.29
EDG-Ko/Kelly4.25
NTC-Dalkin4.23
CP-Avery4.21
PSC-Charters4.13
AYTC-Dao4.06
PL-Jaeger3.96
This is not nearly as close with Seattle Tennis Club being well ahead.  But will they play their best line-up each match?  And are other team's averages pulled down by large rosters with some lower rated players?  The top-8 report or a team report can offer more details.

If you are interested in seeing what your flight looks like including both the overall average and top-8 averages, contact me.  And this is not limited to Seattle area leagues, I can generate these reports for any league in any section.

Have a great 40+ season!