Saturday, February 20, 2016

Handicapping 2016 USTA League 40+ 3.5 Women's Nationals - What areas have the favorites to win it all?

USTA League play in the 40 & over division has started in many areas.  So it is time to start looking at what areas my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings say have the strongest teams.  I started with the 3.5 Men, now the 3.5 Women.

Note of course that some areas have not started their 40+ leagues yet and so without rosters to look at are not included.  So this is preliminary and will be updated in the coming months.

Here are the top-20 teams by top-8 average for the 40+ 3.5 Women:

LocationAverage
TEXAS / DALLAS3.53
FLORIDA / REGION_8 / BROWARD3.52
PACIFIC NW / NORTHWEST WASHINGTON3.51
SOUTHERN / GEORGIA / GA - ATLANTA - 20163.50
FLORIDA / REGION_7 / COLLIER3.50
TEXAS / DALLAS3.49
SOUTHERN / ALABAMA / AL - BIRMINGHAM - 20163.49
SOUTHWEST / NORTHERN ARIZONA3.49
NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 3.5 - SB - 13.49
SO. CALIFORNIA / SO.CALIFORNIA / COACHELLA VALLEY3.49
SOUTHWEST / CENTRAL ARIZONA3.48
SOUTHWEST / CENTRAL ARIZONA3.48
NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 3.5 - MA - 23.48
SOUTHWEST / NORTHERN NEW MEXICO3.47
NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 3.5 - MA - 23.47
NEW ENGLAND / SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT / Southern CT3.47
NEW ENGLAND / SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT / Southern CT3.47
FLORIDA / REGION_7 / COLLIER3.47
SOUTHERN / ALABAMA / AL - BIRMINGHAM - 20163.47
SO. CALIFORNIA / SO.CALIFORNIA / SAN FERNANDO VALLEY3.46

The women also have several teams with top-8 averages over 3.5.  Not quite as much over, and the #20 team is at 3.46 vs the men's 3.48, but still a bunch of strong teams.

Southern teams similarly show up here, and Florida and Texas have 4 of the top 6, but the Pacific Northwest and New England are representing too.

As always, if you'd like to get more details on the specific teams in the list, or get a report on your area or sub-flight, I can generate a report for you showing both the full roster average and top-8 average by team.  Contact me for more details.

More to come!