Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings for the ATP through the Australian Open

I introduced doing calculations of Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings for the ATP a few weeks ago and I'll be updating the ratings periodically, this post being the first update.

The list below includes the Australian Open and other tournaments played in January so you can see how player's results there affected their ratings.  And I'm showing the top-50 this time around.

1Novak Djokovic7.08
2Andy Murray6.97
3Roger Federer6.96
4Milos Raonic6.84
5Tomas Berdych6.73
6Gael Monfils6.73
7Stanislas Wawrinka6.72
8Kei Nishikori6.72
9Rafael Nadal6.69
10David Ferrer6.68
11Roberto Bautista Agut6.67
12Jack Sock6.63
13Marcos Baghdatis6.63
14Bernard Tomic6.62
15Marin Cilic6.62
16Grigor Dimitrov6.62
17Nick Kyrgios6.61
18Joao Sousa6.60
19Jo Wilfried Tsonga6.60
20John Isner6.58
21Gilles Simon6.58
22Dominic Thiem6.55
23Andrey Kuznetsov6.55
24Guillermo Garcia Lopez6.54
25Viktor Troicki6.53
26Hyeon Chung6.53
27Kevin Anderson6.52
28Philipp Kohlschreiber6.51
29Mikhail Youzhny6.51
30Gilles Muller6.51
31Lukas Rosol6.50
32Leonardo Mayer6.50
33Illya Marchenko6.49
34Fabio Fognini6.49
35Andreas Seppi6.48
36Alexandr Dolgopolov6.47
37Ivo Karlovic6.46
38Teymuraz Gabashvili6.44
39Taylor Harry Fritz6.44
40Jerzy Janowicz6.43
41Thiemo De Bakker6.43
42Feliciano Lopez6.43
43Steve Johnson6.42
44Ernests Gulbis6.41
45David Goffin6.41
46Robin Haase6.41
47Edouard Roger Vasselin6.41
48Vasek Pospisil6.39
49Denis Istomin6.39
50Borna Coric6.38

Novak is at 7.08, remarkably close to the 7.07 he ended 2015 at, and maintains a clear lead over Murray and Federer who are very close, then a drop to Raonic, and another drop before the players lead by Berdych bunch up a lot more.

Again, the NTRP algorithm is very much weighted towards what you've done lately, so the above is a reflection of how players have started the year and less about how they did last year, particularly early in the year.

Women's to come.

Attribution: Match data is courtesy Jeff Sackmann / Tennis Abstract.