Sunday, September 25, 2011

NFL Week 3 Preview

After two weeks, there is some of what was likely expected (Patriots, Packers, Jets 2-0), and some perhaps not (Buffalo, Detroit, Houston all 2-0, Vikings and Colts 0-2), so week 3 will be interesting to see if these trends continue.  Here is a preview of some of the interesting games, see full picks here.

One NFC North matchup has Detroit visiting Minnesota with two of the surprises on opposite ends of the spectrum.  Despite being in Minnesota the computer likes Detroit to win and by more than the 3 point spread.  Detroit has a chance to prove their start isn't a fluke.

The other NFC North matchup is also key as Chicago visits Green Bay trying to avoid getting 2 games back after 3.  While the computer likes Green Bay (#2 overall) and likes them to win even on the road, it expects the game to be very close so take the Bears plus the points.

Buffalo and New England meet to see if Buffalo's start can be maintained.  Buffalo isn't getting any respect being as much as a 9 point dog at home early, and the computer says even at the current 8 points it is too much as it expects the Patriots to win by about 5.  Given how the Patriots are playing that may be a hard pick to make though.

In an interesting inter conference matchup, Houston visits New Orleans.  The computer rates these teams virtually the same so being at home gives New Orleans the edge, and they certainly don't want to fall to 1-2, but the computer says it won't be by the 4.5 or so, so take Houston plus the points.

Last, in a game that had a surprisingly low early line at 3.5, Baltimore visits St. Louis.  The computer likes Baltimore, having them at #4, given their big win over the Steelers even though they lost at Tennessee, and doesn't like St. Louis at all having them #31, so expects Baltimore to win easy.  Take the Ravens and give the points.