Sunday, September 25, 2011

College Football Week 4 Schedule Strengths

Four weeks into the college football season, we can begin to see how teams' schedules compare.  At this point, it is heavily influenced by out of conference schedules and teams in tough conferences may not show up with a difficult schedule yet but will in the end.

Here are the full week 4 ratings, but sorted by schedule strength.

As if often the case, teams with losing records show up at the top as they've played tough teams and lost,  but we see Notre Dame as having played the toughest schedule thus far of any non-losing team, but close behind Oklahoma State, LSU, and Oklahoma being undefeated teams that have played tough schedules.  This is why they are ranked #6, #1, and #7 in the rankings.  Boise State has also played the #12 schedule thus far which is needed for them as their conference schedule will drag them down some.

On the other end of the spectrum, there are a bunch of undefeated teams that have played very weak schedules.  This includes top-25 teams Florida (#105), Wisconsin (#100), Baylor (#95), South Florida (#92), Georgia Tech (#88), and Virginia Tech (#81).  This isn't saying these teams aren't good, my computer has them all in the top-27, but they haven't been consistently tested yet.

RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
1Tulsa70.1841-380.156
2Arizona70.2721-377.872
3Florida Atlantic54.0320-376.954
4Notre Dame79.5152-276.857
5Nevada71.2801-276.118
6Oklahoma St86.7754-072.678
7LSU93.1174-072.331
8Oklahoma84.7993-071.959
9Marshall59.5851-371.635
10North Texas53.4281-371.342
11Oregon86.8633-171.194
12Boise St86.8213-070.919
13Troy61.9331-270.874
14Rice57.7021-270.796
15Kent St55.8101-370.698
16Maryland67.2671-270.409
17San Jose St61.4281-370.080
18Utah76.5902-169.940
19UNLV58.7091-369.809
20Toledo68.0061-369.788
21Brigham Young67.0612-269.713
22Georgia74.5682-269.552
23Mississippi St70.3792-269.337
24South Carolina78.8084-068.660
25Penn State77.6523-168.580
26Iowa St70.4023-068.191
27Middle Tennessee St60.0290-368.176
28Miami FL70.1001-267.918
29Oregon St59.5100-367.875
30Tennessee76.3642-167.875
31Missouri74.5962-267.752
32Texas A&M82.1162-167.478
33Southern Cal72.6853-167.426
34Arizona St80.0203-167.359
35Louisiana-Monroe56.2721-367.341
36Army58.9701-366.931
37Alabama-Birmingham49.1560-366.750
38Miami OH56.0680-366.633
39East Carolina60.5141-266.618
40Michigan82.4224-066.486
41Kansas64.4782-166.444
42Pittsburgh71.1972-266.352
43West Virginia74.8063-166.073
44San Diego St71.9843-165.914
45Stanford88.0163-065.841
46UTEP60.7162-265.822
47UCLA65.3942-265.625
48Washington68.4383-165.392
49North Carolina72.0623-165.242
50Fresno St64.1052-265.197
51Northern Illinois68.0392-265.018
52Colorado60.0661-364.943
53Louisiana-Lafayette68.1383-164.865
54Mississippi61.2611-364.763
55Arkansas St66.2922-264.604
56Auburn69.9663-164.558
57Clemson76.0354-064.411
58Idaho55.5361-364.127
59Louisiana Tech63.6121-364.087
60Central Michigan53.4831-364.039
61Duke62.8222-263.941
62Western Michigan70.3672-263.785
63Ball St65.1163-163.773
64Illinois76.4974-063.754
65Buffalo59.2031-363.656
66Nebraska80.0594-063.641
67Alabama91.7094-063.613
68Arkansas73.5603-163.576
69Wyoming65.5043-163.556
70TCU78.8603-163.225
71New Mexico50.5550-463.113
72Vanderbilt68.6813-162.497
73Texas73.5413-062.386
74SMU69.1243-161.940
75Navy73.8762-161.890
76New Mexico St55.6311-361.888
77Syracuse62.9583-161.882
78Florida Int'l68.1393-161.804
79Iowa72.6763-161.701
80Minnesota56.1361-361.511
81Virginia Tech77.8924-061.477
82Akron48.5321-361.438
83Western Kentucky46.5160-361.428
84Utah St63.7861-261.397
85Eastern Michigan56.0762-261.349
86Florida St74.0982-261.146
87Memphis50.6521-360.986
88Georgia Tech78.3894-060.689
89Virginia61.9202-260.471
90Connecticut68.1962-260.442
91California69.0713-160.363
92South Florida82.4184-060.233
93Boston College59.3121-360.194
94Ohio State68.4823-160.176
95Baylor74.6413-059.896
96Hawaii62.4452-259.718
97Temple75.3223-159.677
98North Carolina St62.4682-259.214
99Michigan St71.3923-159.166
100Wisconsin84.3844-059.147
101Kentucky59.1942-258.924
102Louisville64.1912-158.731
103Rutgers71.6202-158.481
104Washington St67.0272-158.270
105Florida80.5054-058.186
106Kansas St71.0033-058.096
107Southern Miss64.5733-157.880
108Ohio U.69.2703-157.528
109Texas Tech71.0623-057.462
110Air Force68.5232-157.396
111Tulane56.2302-257.141
112Central Florida67.4592-256.997
113Indiana57.5011-356.666
114Cincinnati70.0123-156.379
115Northwestern62.5842-156.229
116Houston68.0224-055.891
117Wake Forest62.7892-155.234
118Bowling Green66.1653-153.592
119Colorado St56.7763-153.525
120Purdue61.2052-153.194