Monday, December 14, 2009

The 2009 college regular season is over, now what?

With this past weekends games, the regular season for FBS is now complete and we can look forward to the bowl games.

The current ratings are always here, with #1 Alabama having a clear margin over #2 Florida and #3 Texas.  Yes, Florida is still #2 as their loss to Alabama dropped their rating but Texas' narrow win over Nebraska dropped theirs too.  See below for the full ratings/rankings.

For the season, the computer went 396-305-11 against the spread including 1-0 in the Army/Navy game this week, and a winning record every week but one since week 4 of the season.  It also just beat Vegas going 539-173 picking winners versus Vegas' 532-173.

The picks for the bowls are now up, and there may be a few surprises.  Take a look, and look for more previews here, but also consider a newsletter subscription that will give many more details on the picks including charts, confidence, and game by game previews.


RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
1Alabama92.07213-072.155+0, -0.024
2Florida87.25312-171.224+0, -0.023
3Texas86.52613-069.464+0, -0.018
4TCU85.38612-064.961+0, -0.001
5Virginia Tech82.6099-372.746+0, -0.022
6Oregon82.43210-272.517+0, -0.015
7Boise St81.82913-062.437+0, -0.011
8Arkansas81.7567-572.889+0, -0.023
9Cincinnati81.37712-066.792+0, -0.026
10LSU81.1329-372.603+0, -0.022
11Oklahoma80.2707-570.468+0, -0.018
12Georgia Tech79.92511-272.532+0, -0.021
13Miami FL79.2039-371.705+0, -0.023
14Texas Tech79.0388-468.013+0, -0.020
15Oregon St78.7818-470.381+0, -0.020
16Stanford78.4638-470.648+0, -0.018
17Ohio State78.39710-266.241+0, -0.021
18Clemson78.0948-570.699+0, -0.020
19Nebraska78.0799-468.966+0, -0.019
20Mississippi77.9788-470.184+0, -0.017
21Tennessee77.7337-570.893+0, -0.023
22Pittsburgh77.4439-368.065+0, -0.031
23Auburn77.4257-573.021+0, -0.028
24Arizona77.3588-471.962+0, -0.012
25Penn State76.97410-264.349+0, -0.020
26Southern Cal76.7228-471.869+0, -0.016
27Oklahoma St75.8829-368.815+0, -0.020
28Iowa75.54110-267.816+1, -0.015
29North Carolina75.5378-469.235-1, -0.026
30Georgia75.3507-573.968+0, -0.023
31South Carolina75.0837-573.643+0, -0.025
32West Virginia74.8059-369.188+0, -0.029
33Connecticut74.6007-568.888+0, -0.027
34Kentucky74.3887-569.501+0, -0.024
35Brigham Young74.31510-266.157+0, +0.001
36Mississippi St74.2645-773.415+0, -0.022
37Utah74.1679-365.684+0, +0.004
38California74.0108-471.146+0, -0.008
39Central Michigan72.57411-260.966+0, -0.023
40Florida St72.5276-673.089+0, -0.023
41Missouri72.4428-468.829+0, -0.023
42Boston College72.4348-468.518+0, -0.023
43Houston72.39110-363.723+0, -0.025
44Washington72.3795-772.721+0, -0.015
45Texas A&M72.3086-669.797+0, -0.017
46Wisconsin72.2729-365.932+0, -0.018
47Notre Dame71.9186-669.890+0, -0.026
48Rutgers71.5358-461.925+0, -0.023
49Wake Forest71.4895-771.027+0, -0.039
50UCLA71.3566-672.510+0, -0.015
51Air Force71.0157-563.950+0, -0.000
52Nevada70.7668-464.491+0, -0.003
53South Florida70.6987-566.892+0, -0.030
54East Carolina70.5659-466.754+0, -0.042
55Navy69.9909-464.888+0, -0.088
56Michigan St69.6826-667.193+0, -0.009
57Arizona St69.3404-869.564+0, -0.014
58Fresno St68.8578-465.577+0, +0.001
59Kansas68.6215-769.632+0, -0.013
60Troy68.2719-362.189+0, -0.017
61Central Florida68.2618-464.871-1, -0.027
62Minnesota67.8856-669.623+0, -0.010
63Virginia67.7493-973.287+0, +0.011
64Southern Miss67.6647-562.398+0, -0.021
65Iowa St67.5036-666.715+0, -0.015
66Kansas St67.4146-667.528+0, -0.018
67Purdue66.9495-767.863+0, -0.018
68Temple66.8869-360.633+0, -0.057
69Northwestern66.7268-463.052+0, -0.019
70Baylor66.5254-871.070+0, -0.022
71Middle Tennessee St66.4579-359.729+0, -0.016
72Louisiana Tech66.4494-865.835+0, -0.012
73Duke66.3775-768.003+0, -0.023
74Ohio U.66.3139-462.330+0, -0.024
75North Carolina St66.1085-767.227+0, -0.027
76Bowling Green65.8047-563.861+0, -0.024
77Syracuse64.7214-868.562+0, -0.028
78Northern Illinois64.5987-558.867+0, -0.020
79Marshall64.2696-666.234+0, -0.016
80SMU63.8277-563.998+0, -0.022
81Maryland63.6312-1070.513+0, -0.022
82Illinois63.5713-968.642+0, -0.013
83Colorado63.5073-970.220+0, -0.012
84Michigan63.4005-764.289+0, -0.020
85Alabama-Birmingham63.2465-765.681+0, -0.022
86Vanderbilt63.2392-1071.537+0, -0.020
87Utah St62.4634-866.477+0, +0.006
88Louisville62.4074-868.221+0, -0.025
89Buffalo62.3265-762.470+0, -0.032
90Idaho62.2947-564.446+0, -0.001
91UNLV62.2805-766.293+0, +0.016
92Wyoming62.1846-667.469+1, +0.020
93Tulsa62.1695-763.203-1, -0.019
94Indiana62.0954-865.898+0, -0.017
95Hawaii61.6096-763.267+0, -0.009
96UTEP61.3794-863.173+0, -0.019
97San Diego St60.6464-865.076+0, +0.015
98Colorado St59.5003-966.732+0, +0.021
99Kent St58.9495-760.353+0, -0.030
100Western Michigan58.2425-760.591+0, -0.027
101Florida Atlantic58.0615-761.418+0, -0.013
102Louisiana-Monroe57.5356-660.968+0, -0.013
103Toledo57.3825-762.140+0, -0.025
104Memphis56.7302-1066.354+0, -0.022
105Army55.2085-760.061+0, +0.049
106Louisiana-Lafayette55.0636-660.295+0, -0.013
107Arkansas St54.9774-858.660+0, -0.014
108Washington St54.8481-1173.183+0, -0.017
109Ball St54.5752-1062.217+0, -0.023
110Tulane54.0023-964.875+0, -0.014
111Akron53.8583-962.238+0, -0.030
112Miami OH53.5491-1167.318+0, -0.027
113San Jose St53.1462-1067.247+0, +0.014
114Rice52.8602-1066.999+0, -0.027
115North Texas52.6122-1060.503+0, -0.007
116New Mexico52.4391-1167.843+0, +0.007
117Florida Int'l51.9813-964.395+0, -0.014
118New Mexico St51.1083-1064.153+0, +0.009
119Eastern Michigan45.6180-1263.346+0, -0.018
120Western Kentucky45.5280-1261.295+0, -0.007