Thursday, October 1, 2015

Picking matches at the 2015 USTA League Men's 18 & over 3.0 Nationals

I previewed the 18 & over 3.0 Men leading up to the Nationals starting Friday, but here are how my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings say the first round of matches may go.  Specifically, this is looking at the average rating for the top-8 rostered players on each team.

It goes without saying that the team with the higher top-8 average does not always win.  The top-8 players may not play in a match, and even if they do, the specific match-ups on the court with the line-ups used and how players do on that given day will determine who wins and loses.  But comparing the teams using the top-8 average is fun, so here goes.

Flight 5

Mid-Atlantic narrowly over Intermountain
Northern California over Missouri Valley

Flight 6

Eastern over Pacific Northwest
Midwest over Southern California

Flight 7

Texas narrowly over Southern
Caribbean over Florida

Flight 8

Middle States over New England
Southwest narrowly over Northern

But don't be surprised if there isn't an upset or two.  I'll check back in to report as the weekend goes along.