Friday, October 2, 2015

Initial results of picking matches at the 2015 USTA League Women's 18 & over 3.0 Nationals

I wrote yesterday about how my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings would predict the first few matches of the 18+ 3.0 Women Nationals.  The matches are complete and here is how things played out.

Flight 1

Midwest over Hawaii - Correct, Midwest winning 3-2.
Southern over Middle States - Correct, Southern winning 4-1.
Florida over Hawaii -Correct Florida winning 5-0.

Flight 2

Missouri Valley over Caribbean - Missed, Caribbean won 3-2.
Mid-Atlantic over New England - Missed, New England won 4-1.

Flight 3

Intermountain over Northern - Correct, Intermountain won 4-1.
Eastern over Southwest - Correct, Intermountain won 4-1.

Flight 4

Texas narrowly over Pacific Northwest - Missed, PNW pulled the upset winning 5-0!
Northern California over Southern California - Correct, NorCal winning 3-2.


The predictions went 6-3, not quite as good as the 3.0 Men, but still a pretty good accuracy.