Thursday, October 1, 2015

Picking matches at the 2015 USTA League Women's 18 & over 3.0 Nationals

I previewed the 18 & over 3.0 Women leading up to the Nationals starting Friday, but here are how my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings say the first round of matches may go.  Specifically, this is looking at the average rating for the top-8 rostered players on each team.

It goes without saying that the team with the higher top-8 average does not always win.  The top-8 players may not play in a match, and even if they do, the specific match-ups on the court with the line-ups used and how players do on that given day will determine who wins and loses.  But comparing the teams using the top-8 average is fun, so here goes.

Flight 1

Midwest over Hawaii
Southern over Middle States
Florida over Hawaii

Flight 2

Missouri Valley over Caribbean
Mid-Atlantic over New England

Flight 3

Intermountain over Northern
Eastern over Southwest

Flight 4

Texas narrowly over Pacific Northwest
Northern California over Southern California.

But don't be surprised if there isn't an upset or two.  I'll check back in to report as the weekend goes along.