Friday, May 22, 2015

2015 40 & over 3.0 men USTA Pacific Northwest Seattle area local playoffs preview

The regular season has ended for the 40 & over division in USTA League play in the Seattle area and local playoffs are coming up next weekend, May 29 thru 31.  This is the first of several previews I plan to write-up, this one taking a look at the 3.0 men.

In these previews, I'll be looking at the top-8 Estimated Dynamic NTRP Rating average for each team as that should be a pretty good comparison between teams as you'd expect each team to field their best players.  This will avoid lower averages you'd see by averaging the entire roster if you had big rosters with some lower rated players pulling the average down.

So, here are the top-8 averages for the four teams headed to playoffs.  The playoff seed is before the team name.

1- MC-Youngblut3.05
2 - STC-Left Shark-Owen3.00
1 - CP-Graves2.98
2 - AYTC-Welland2.79

Similar to the women's 3.0 preview, there is one team that looks out of place.  Welland finished in a 3-way tie for second in their sub-flight and won the tie-breaker so moved on.  Note that they have several self-rated players that don't have a full dynamic rating yet so were not included in the average and that likely accounts for them being lower.

This is a straight semis and final draw and MC and CP are the higher seeds as the sub-flight winners, but by these averages STC has an ever so slight edge over CP in their match.

But as always, average ratings for a team does not tell the whole story, who specifically plays and the match-ups and how each player plays on the given day goes a long way to determining who is going to win the team match.

Good luck men, may the best team win!