When a 4.0 male and 3.0 female play a 3.5/3.5 combo, the 4.0/3.0 pair win about 60% of the time.
When a 4.0 female and 3.0 male play a 3.5/3.5 combo, the 4.0/3.0 win about 54% of the time.
Last, when a 4.0 male and 3.0 female play the opposite pair, the 4.0 male and 3.0 female win about 57% of the time.
Other than this last point, the percentages are awfully similar to the 8.0 numbers.
What do you think. Does this jive with your experience?
Obviously the factors can vary widely but this seems to make sense on the surface.
ReplyDeleteI wonder if the results would change if you would only consider the case where all players are at the top end of their respective levels.
You are right, where the players actually fall in their NTRP level range definitely matters. So some of these stats/observations may be at least in part a reflection on the strength of players within their rating levels, e.g. perhaps the 3.0s that play 7.0 mixed are very strong and not that much weaker than one or both of the 3.5s they are facing, so the 4.0 partner that is stronger is the difference.
DeleteThe other thing that might be going on here is play vs a 6.5 combo, which you can't have when there is a 4.0 on court. Did you take that into account?
ReplyDeleteI actually excluded pairs that were playing as a "6.5" from the analysis.
DeleteI think the trend is headed towards having 4.0 and 3.0 for 7.0 mixed and 4.5s and 3.5s for 8.0 mixed. Having one strong player on the court can make all of the difference.
ReplyDelete