2010 Week 13 NFL Projections; Patriots and Falcons #1 seeds

With four games to play, the playoff picture is pretty clear regarding who will make it, but positioning is still important.

This week had a number of important games affecting the seeding and Atlanta and New England now lead the projected records at 13-3 with Pittsburgh close behind at 12-4.  Baltimore and the Jets have an uphill road now with both projected to get the AFC wildcards at 11-5 and New Orleans a wildcard in the NFC at 11-5 as well.

Chicago and Green Bay will go down to the wire it appears as they are projected to both be 11-5 which Chicago holding the tie-breaker today, but if Green Bay wins the finale they'd have split their two games.  My computer gives Chicago the slightly better chance of 11-5 and significantly better chance of 12-4 so they get the nod.

In the NFC East, the Eagles are projected to finish a game ahead of the Giants and in the AFC West Kansas City should be a game ahead of the Chargers.  And right now, in the bringing up the rear NFC West, the Rams have the edge over the Seahawks with a better chance of 8-8 or 9-7, but with both teams having at 27%+ chance of 7-9 there could still be a losing team making the playoffs.

Team	Record	% chance	% +1	% -1
Team	Record	% chance	% +1	% -1
Atlanta	13-3	42.8	42.3	13.5
New England	13-3	38.9	17.2	31.6
Pittsburgh	12-4	46.5	30.1	20.9
Baltimore	11-5	42.9	20.7	29.1
New Orleans	11-5	42.2	22.6	26.3
NY Jets	11-5	38.7	34.1	15.7
Chicago	11-5	37.7	19.9	30.1
Green Bay	11-5	37.3	13.0	34.6
Philadelphia	11-5	35.6	12.6	35.2
Kansas City	10-6	38.0	28.9	21.1
NY Giants	10-6	37.9	21.4	28.6
Tampa Bay	9-7	39.3	27.5	22.4
Jacksonville	9-7	38.7	26.8	23.1
San Diego	9-7	38.2	16.6	32.1
Miami	8-8	43.7	24.7	23.5
St Louis	8-8	38.9	22.9	27.1
Oakland	8-8	38.4	22.7	27.3
Indianapolis	8-8	37.3	30.0	20.0
Seattle	8-8	35.3	15.2	34.8
Tennessee	7-9	38.3	22.4	27.6
Cleveland	7-9	37.8	27.3	22.7
Houston	7-9	37.6	21.6	28.4
Minnesota	7-9	37.2	19.0	31.0
Washington	7-9	36.6	17.9	32.1
San Francisco	6-10	41.0	21.2	28.3
Dallas	6-10	39.5	25.9	24.0
Denver	5-11	37.3	20.4	29.6
Arizona	4-12	35.6	34.4	13.5
Cincinnati	3-13	45.8	19.7	32.0
Buffalo	3-13	42.7	25.7	24.6
Detroit	3-13	36.5	34.3	13.6
Carolina	2-14	53.0	9.8	36.6