Wednesday, October 25, 2017

The 2017 USTA League 40 & over 4.5+ Men's National Champion is NorCal (EDNR Edition)

The 2017 USTA League Nationals held in Mobile this past weekend did not get completed due to weather and four co-champions were declared for the 18 & over 2.5 women and two each for the 40 & over 4.5+ men and women.

Co-champions just leaves a sour taste in one's mouth though, so in an effort to declare one champion for each of these events, I came up with an approach to identify an Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings (EDNR) National Champion.  I will be doing this each time something happens at an event the the final is not contested on the court.

The first we'll look at is the 40 & over 4.5+ men.

In this case, I was able to learn what the line-ups used in the aborted final were.  Using that line-up and my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings through the semis, that yields this result.

CourtNor Cal 4.5+MExpected ResultMiddle States 4.5+M
1SBrian Heimbecker← 0.07Mark Tepes
2SMichael Hotti← 0.22Joseph Fisicaro
1DRoman Olmos / Andrew Ngo← 0.06Michael Sass / Jeffrey Hoffmann
2DAnthony J. Latos / Denton Desquitado0.07 →Jay Nistad / William R Dipietro
3D Brian Jacobsen / Kevin L. Howard← 0.03Jim Burmester / ed colfer

This shows a 4-1 win for NorCal, although four of the courts are quite close with three going NorCal's way.  While those close matches could go either way when they are played for real, in the world of Dynamic Rating National Champion, NorCal would come out on top.

Congratulations NorCal on winning the first ever EDNR National Championship!

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