The 2017 USTA League 18 & over 2.5 Women's National Champion is Missouri Valley (EDNR Edition)

The 2017 USTA League Nationals held in Mobile this past weekend did not get completed due to weather and four co-champions were declared for the 18 & over 2.5 women and two each for the 40 & over 4.5+ men and women.

Co-champions just leaves a sour taste in one's mouth though, so in an effort to declare one champion for each of these events, I came up with an approach to identify an Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings (EDNR) National Champion.  I will be doing this each time something happens at an event the the final is not contested on the court.

I already identified Northern California as the EDNR National Champion for the 40+ 4.5+ men, now I take a look at the 18+ 2.5 women.  This event didn't even complete their semis, so I'll be simulating the two semis and the resulting final.

In this case, I was able to learn what the line-ups were for one semi-final, but am making a best guess at the other.  Using these line-ups and my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings through round robin, that yields this result for the Florida vs Missouri Valley semi.

Court	Florida: Yacht Club/Taylor	Expected Result	MoValley:Melcher/Austin
1S	Katherine Sherman	0.07 →	Megan Lynch
1D	Dawn Crawford / Cheryl Flanders	← 0.09	Sandy Lyons / Alison Ryan Drain
2D	Jennifer Espinosa / Evelyn Edenfield	0.29 →	Britney Coffey / Maya Horsford

This shows a 2-1 win for Missouri Valley, but really close on two of the courts.

The other semi between Pacific Northwest and Southern would have played out this way.

Court	Pacific NW:Goel	Expected Result	Southern:Edwards
1S	Claudia Huzar	← 0.11	Katrina Moore
1D	Anne Wilson / Jillian Lee	← 0.04	Karin Rubnitz / Cindy Cummings
2D	Ginevra Smith / Anna Graves	0.11 →	Christy Butcher / Rhonda Katzman

This shows a tight battle on each court, PNW coming through with a 2-1 win.

Using the same line-ups above in the final then would have had the following.

Court	Pacific NW:Goel	Expected Result	MoValley:Melcher/Austin
1S	Claudia Huzar	0.07 →	Megan Lynch
1D	Anne Wilson / Jillian Lee	← 0.16	Sandy Lyons / Alison Ryan Drain
2D	Ginevra Smith / Anna Graves	0.21 →	Britney Coffey / Maya Horsford

In another 2-1 result, Missouri Valley would come out on top.

Congratulations Missouri Valley on winning the 18 & over 2.5 women EDNR National Championship!

p.s. for those interested, yes, I can simulate any match and can include such simulations with scouting reports I do if requested