Co-champions just leaves a sour taste in one's mouth though, so in an effort to declare one champion for each of these events, I came up with an approach to identify an Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings (EDNR) National Champion. I will be doing this each time something happens at an event the the final is not contested on the court.
I took a look at the 40 & over 4.5+ men and 18 & over 2.5 women, now the 40 & over 4.5+ women.
In this case, I have not learned the actual line-ups, so I am using the line-ups each team used in their semi-final wins. Using these and my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings through the semis, that yields this result.
Court | Florida 4.5+ W | Expected Result | Southern 4.5+F |
---|---|---|---|
1S | Elizabeth Baldwin | 0.03 → | Spencer Moorman |
2S | Joan Simmons | ← 0.44 | Vanessa Dixon |
1D | Gail Gibson / Allegra Campos | 0.12 → | Jan Deener / Allison Scanlan |
2D | Avery Zercoe / Gueisy Herrmann | ← 0.12 | Stacy Trinkle / Mary King |
3D | Dagmar Rocker / Katarina Rutherford | ← 0.11 | Marnie Ochoa / Claudia Wesbrooks |
This shows a tight one, with Florida winning 3-2 with the four close matches being split and Florida winning an easy one.
Congratulations Florida on winning the 40 & over 4.5+ women's EDNR National Championship?
p.s. for those interested, yes, I can simulate any match and can include such simulations with scouting reports I do if requested
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