Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Handicapping USTA League Nationals 18 & over 4.0 Women

Nationals for the 2017 USTA League 18 & over division continue this weekend along with the 40 & over starting, and so my previews continue.  I wrote about the 40 & over 3.0 women, now the 18 & over 4.0 women.

For all my previews, I'll be using my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings and comparing teams using the top-8 (for 5 court levels) or top-5 (for 3 court levels) averages which gives an idea of who the best teams are, if they play their best players.  Who actually plays and the match-ups a captain is able to get obviously go a long way to determining who will win, but it is still interesting to compare "best" vs "best".  The actual detailed numbers along with full roster averages and by court played averages are available as part of a Flight Report which can still be purchased for any Nationals flight.  Contact me if interested.

The 18 & over 4.0 women will be played in Surprise, AZ.  The full 17 teams are present so there is one flight with five teams and three with four teams, the flight winners advancing to the semis.

The favorites in the four flights are Northern California, Northern, Midwest, and Missouri Valley, but most flights are very close.

Ratings will clearly change as a result of the matches played, but right now, Midwest appears to be the favorite if they have/play their best players.

Good luck to all!

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