Friday, July 21, 2017

How are the ratings predicting matches at Southern Sectionals and Dallas City's after day one?

I was just taking a look at some results after the first day of this weekend's playoffs, and thought I'd share how the ratings are doing at predicting matches.

In one of the flights for the 4.5 men at the Southern Sectionals, four matches were played and my ratings predict the courts on the team matches as follows:

  • 5-0
  • 5-0
  • 4-1
  • 4-1, the one miss where the match was predicted to go to a super tie-break

And two matches were played in Dallas at their city playoffs, those matches going as follows:
  • 5-0
  • 3-2

So out of 30 matches, there were only four upsets.

My ratings are not perfect at predicting matches, but 26-4 ain't too bad, which just reinforces how using my ratings to scout opponents can be a great help as they can tell captains when their team is favored or not and help them identify how to arrange their line-ups to maximize the chances of winning the team match.