The ratings used in preparing these previews are my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings. And for the purposes of comparing teams, I'm calculating the average of the top-8 players on each National's roster.
The 3.5 men have quite the range from 3.74 for the top-seed (yes, a top-8 average of a mid-level 4.0) down to 3.38 for the lowest rated team.
Flight 8 with Middle States, Northern Cal, Pacific Northwest, and Southern looks the toughest with the #1, #5, #9, and #11 teams.
Flight 6 has Hawaii, Missouri Valley, Southern Cal, and Southwest with the #2, #6, #10, and #15 teams.
Flight 7 looks very close to flight 6 with Florida, Intermountain, Mid-Atlantic, and Midwest having the #4, #8, #12, and #14 teams.
Flight 5 appears to be the weakest flight on paper with five teams from Caribbean, Eastern, New England, Northern, and Texas with the #3, #7, #13, #16, and #17 teams.
If you'd like more details on any of the flights, I can generate a flight report for any of the them that will show the average rating for the roster and the top-8 average.
Or if you want to see details about a team including each player's rating and a summary of their record and courts played on the team through each phase of the season, a team report is a great resource for your team or any opponent as a tool to scout them.
Contact me if you are interested in any reports.
Note: As always, average ratings for a team does not win a team match. Who plays in the match, the line-ups and how they match-up, and how a given player plays on that day are what determine who wins. So the highest rated teams using top-8 average may or may not win, but it is interesting to look at.
Are your Team Rankings in the order they are listed. Flight 7, Florida is 4, Utah is 8, etc.?
ReplyDeleteThey look like alphabetical order.
ReplyDeleteAs a guy that follows this a long time. Low levels are typically dominated by Texas and the Caribbean. It is impossible to handicap the Caribbean and Texas isn't much easier. They are the most underhanded section when it comes to manipulating ratings. It is funny that they are both in the same flight.
ReplyDeletePerhaps intentional by the USTA? :O
DeleteWe played the Texas team at sectionals. I don't thint they have a 3.5 on the roster. I was told that they were missing some of their top players too.
ReplyDeleteHaving players playing above their rating is fairly common the deeper you get into playoffs, but it is unfortunate when players achieved their prior year rating unfairly which happens sometimes, and Texas is not unique in this but it does seem to be a recurring theme there.
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