As always, the ratings used in preparing these previews are my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings. And for the purposes of comparing teams, I'm calculating the average of the top-8 players on each National's roster.
Not every section is sending a 5.0+ team to Nationals meaning there are just 14 teams in 3 flights. I'm guessing that means there will be a wildcard that makes the semis, so a little extra incentive and a second chance for the teams that lose early.
As was the case with the 3.0 previews, there is a range averages from 4.91 at the top (twice) down to 4.64 (three times). So at higher levels, even being a plus league, the averages don't exceed the top of the range.
Flight 1 has 5 teams from Eastern, Florida, Mid-Atlantic, Northern Cal, and Southwest and has the #1, #2, #6, #7, and #13 teams, so several good teams won't be advancing to the semis, but with the wildcard it is possible the #1 and #2 rated teams make it through.
Flight 3 with Intermountain, Midwest, Southern, and Texas is probably the next toughest with the #4, #5, #8, and #12 teams. This flight could be competitive and if they beat up on each other may be unlikely to get the wildcard.
Flight 2 with Middle States, Missouri Valley, New England, Pacific Northwest, and Southern Cal has the #3, #9, #10, #11, and #14 teams so appears to be in the #3 team's hands and unlikely to get the wildcard.
If you'd like more details on any of the flights, I can generate a flight report for any of the them that will show the average rating for the roster and the top-8 average.
Or if you want to see details about a team including each player's rating and a summary of their record and courts played on the team through each phase of the season, a team report is a great resource for your team or any opponent as a tool to scout them.
Contact me if you are interested in any reports.
Note: As always, average ratings for a team does not win a team match. Who plays in the match, the line-ups and how they match-up, and how a given player plays on that day are what determine who wins. So the highest rated teams using top-8 average may or may not win, but it is interesting to look at.
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