Friday, January 16, 2015

Handicapping the 2015 Pacific Northwest Seattle area 18 & over USTA League 3.5 Women

I handicapped the 3.5 Men's flight in the PNW Seattle area of the USTA League, and not wanting to leave the women out, here is how the 3.5 Women's flight in the same district looks.

Again, I'l preface this by saying I'm reporting an average rating for a team, and a lot goes into determining who wins a team match beyond that, e.g. who actually plays in a given match, any stacking that may take place, specific match-ups, new self-rated players, and players getting better or worse from the rating I've calculated over the course of the season, so this by no means should be construed as a guarantee of what will happen.

All that said, this is what sub-flight A looks like:

NameAverage Rating
ACES-Edwards3.26
NTC-Gallagher3.22
HBSQ-Liner3.21
CP-Fusetti3.21
RBW-Myerchin3.18
TCSP-Jolly3.13
MC-Wyer3.09
BELL-Boarnets3.07
TCSP-Tronquet3.05

Note that some of the teams with lower averages have a number of 3.0s playing up which pulls their average down a bit.  But if they play their stronger players or get good match-ups, they could still win their share of matches.

Sub-flight B looks like:

NameAverage Rating
ETC-Grape Stompers-Kirkland3.36
AYTC-Wyman3.26
RBW-Shone3.16
BETC-Hollar3.15
EDG-Black Diamonds-Wong3.11
BETC-Alquiza3.09
TCSP-Rogers3.08
TCSP-Quam3.05
ACES-Uyesgui2.98
There is what appears to be a stronger team from ETC, but otherwise a similar break down and same comment about the teams with a lower average.

There are several daytime leagues as well but they start later and so the rosters are not nearly as complete yet so it doesn't really make sense to look at averages.

What do you think?