First, it is always fun to look at the seeding and see how things panned out. At the top, my computer agrees with 3 of the #1 seeds and 3 of the #2 seeds. It says Syracuse should have been a #2 and Ohio State the #1, and then Duke is too high as a #2 and Memphis should have replaced them. So all in all, not that far off here.
So where was the seeding way off?
Belmont is the most underrated team being a #14 seed, but my computer ranks them #27 which says they should have been around a #7 seed. They play a #3 seed in Georgetown that is seeded slightly high (ranked #17 should have been a #5 seed) so this game is a potential upset.
Memphis is a #8 seed but being ranked #8 by my computer says they should have been a #2 seed.
St. Louis and Long Beach State are also small conference teams getting no respect as my computer ranks them #19 and #33, worthy of #5 and #9 seeds, but they received #9 and #12 seeds.
On the other side of things, Montana got in with their conferences automatic bid, but ranked #88 should have been around a #15 seed but received a #13 seed ahead of some at-large teams my computer ranks well ahead of them.
Southern Miss, somehow gets a #9 seed but being ranked #67 shouldn't have even been a bubble team let alone make the tournament. I may eat crow on this, but do not pick them as one of your #9 upsets #8 seed games.
Colorado State also shouldn't have made it as an #11 seed being ranked #71. Don't look for them to pull the upset of Murray State either.
San Diego State gets a #6 seed but being ranked #44 should have had more like a #12 seed. The committee set them up to fail having to play #49 NC State, good upset chance here.
Notre Dame and Temple are a bit high at #7 and #5 respectively, as they are ranked #40 and #32 more in line with a #10 and #8 seed.
What do you think?
|2||Michigan St||86.530||27-7||75.276||+2, +0.691|
|3||Ohio State||86.306||27-7||74.682||+2, +0.614|
|4||North Carolina||85.856||29-5||73.825||-2, -1.013|
|9||Wichita St||82.856||26-5||71.967||-1, -0.208|
|17||Georgetown DC||81.154||22-8||74.322||+1, -0.023|
|18||New Mexico||81.052||26-6||70.889||+3, +0.656|
|19||St Louis U.||81.045||24-7||71.787||-4, -0.659|
|21||Kansas St||80.694||21-10||74.094||-4, -0.510|
|23||Florida St||80.452||24-9||74.404||+9, +1.144|
|25||Iowa St||79.674||22-10||73.698||-2, -0.572|
|28||Murray St||79.477||27-1||68.534||+1, -0.059|
|33||Long Beach St||79.049||23-8||70.979||+3, +0.152|
|37||St Mary's CA||78.593||25-5||69.489||+2, +0.106|
|40||Notre Dame||78.366||22-11||73.470||-3, -0.482|
|42||West Virginia||78.091||19-13||74.264||-1, -0.272|
|43||VA Commonwealth||77.982||28-6||69.791||+0, +0.073|
|44||San Diego St||77.509||24-7||71.409||+0, -0.208|
|46||New Mexico St||77.303||24-9||69.409||+13, +0.587|
|49||North Carolina St||77.225||22-12||72.929||+12, +0.617|
|51||South Florida||77.171||19-13||74.445||-2, +0.109|
|53||St Bonaventure||76.847||20-11||71.963||+19, +0.855|
|54||Brigham Young||76.784||23-8||69.788||-4, -0.242|
|56||Xavier OH||76.718||21-12||73.939||-1, -0.040|
|59||Ohio U.||76.618||26-7||69.479||-2, -0.101|
|62||South Dakota St||76.523||25-7||68.956||-4, -0.195|
|67||Southern Miss||75.968||23-8||72.836||-7, -0.699|
|71||Colorado St||75.795||20-11||72.550||+2, -0.107|
|103||Detroit Mercy||73.668||20-13||70.010||+13, +0.635|
|180||Norfolk St||68.984||24-8||66.027||+1, -0.034|
|186||Western Kentucky||68.661||15-18||70.000||+19, +0.792|
|227||Mississippi Valley St||66.609||21-12||66.358||-6, -0.477|