Who should have made the 68 team 2012 NCAA Tournament - Miami, Drexel, Tennessee, Seton Hall, and Arizona

We now know the 68 tournament teams, but who should have made it?  Below is the answer according to my computer.

The bold teams are the teams that won their conference tournament or received the automatic bid.  I've then filled in the rest of the 68 team field based on the highest rating by my computer.  I've then highlighted in red those teams that did not make the field.

There are 5 that have an argument for being left out, the highest rated of those being Miami-FL.  Yes, they were just 19-12, but West Virginia was 19-13 and had only a slightly tougher schedule.

Drexel is 27-6 and my computer likes them enough, but the committee must have dinged them for their weak schedule.

My computer also likes Tennessee enough but 17-14 just wasn't good enough despite the strong schedule.

Seton Hall has a decent gripe with 20 wins and a strong enough schedule.

And Arizona would be my computer's last at-large team with 23 wins and a decent schedule.

Who made it in that shouldn't have?

Southern Miss is in as a #9 seed, so no where near the bubble, and they have a nice looking 23-8 record, but my computer ranks them only #67, well back of the #52 that Arizona, my last at-large is at.  A #9 seed is certainly too high.

Xavier made it in as a #10 seed, also not close to the bubble, and is closer to making it on my list at #56, but too should have been left out or certainly not a #10 seed.

Colorado State ranks only #71 on my computer but somehow got a #11 seed.

BYU eked in as a #14 seed and has to play a first round game and at #54, just two spots behind #52 Arizona, one can make the argument this was ok.

And Iona, BYU's opponent in that first round game also received a #14 seed and at #57 is also close enough to justify it.

Now, just because a team made it my computer said shouldn't doesn't mean they won't win a round or two.  Anything can happen in a given game, and in the case of Southern Miss, Xavier, and Colorado State, they actually get a high enough seed that they don't have to face as strong an opponent.  But it doesn't change the fact that particularly Miami and Drexel should have made it in.


Thoughts on these teams being omitted and eking in?

More to come.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
1	Kentucky	87.688	32-2	73.497	+0, -1.560
2	Michigan St	86.530	27-7	75.276	+2, +0.691
3	Ohio State	86.306	27-7	74.682	+2, +0.614
4	North Carolina	85.856	29-5	73.825	-2, -1.013
5	Kansas	85.262	27-6	75.069	-2, -0.849
6	Missouri	85.045	30-4	72.937	+1, +1.224
7	Syracuse	84.534	31-2	73.480	-1, -0.672
8	Memphis	83.226	26-8	72.864	+3, +0.904
9	Wichita St	82.856	26-5	71.967	-1, -0.208
10	Indiana	82.468	25-8	73.863	-1, -0.476
11	Vanderbilt	82.145	24-10	74.450	+9, +1.286
12	Baylor	82.034	26-7	74.585	+2, +0.206
13	Duke	81.894	27-6	75.163	-3, -0.590
14	Wisconsin	81.863	24-9	74.377	-1, -0.104
15	Louisville	81.710	26-9	74.378	+9, +1.650
16	Marquette	81.507	25-7	74.091	-4, -0.676
17	Georgetown DC	81.154	22-8	74.322	+1, -0.023
18	New Mexico	81.052	26-6	70.889	+3, +0.656
19	St Louis U.	81.045	24-7	71.787	-4, -0.659
20	Florida	80.995	23-10	74.278	-1, +0.095
21	Kansas St	80.694	21-10	74.094	-4, -0.510
22	Michigan	80.591	23-9	75.411	-6, -0.790
23	Florida St	80.452	24-9	74.404	+9, +1.144
24	Gonzaga	79.856	25-6	70.251	-2, -0.473
25	Iowa St	79.674	22-10	73.698	-2, -0.572
26	Creighton	79.586	28-5	71.435	+0, -0.167
27	Belmont	79.528	26-7	69.833	+1, -0.041
28	Murray St	79.477	27-1	68.534	+1, -0.059
29	UNLV	79.171	24-8	71.982	-4, -0.654
30	Texas	79.159	20-13	74.756	+1, -0.324
31	Virginia	79.124	22-9	71.795	-1, -0.371
32	Temple	79.075	24-7	73.768	-5, -0.650
33	Long Beach St	79.049	23-8	70.979	+3, +0.152
34	Cincinnati	79.012	24-10	72.603	+4, +0.461
35	Purdue	78.998	21-12	74.341	-1, -0.265
36	Alabama	78.952	21-11	74.083	-3, -0.322
37	St Mary's CA	78.593	25-5	69.489	+2, +0.106
38	Connecticut	78.463	20-13	74.596	+4, +0.505
39	California	78.369	24-9	71.122	-4, -0.881
40	Notre Dame	78.366	22-11	73.470	-3, -0.482
41	Miami FL	78.351	19-12	73.727	-1, -0.061
42	West Virginia	78.091	19-13	74.264	-1, -0.272
43	VA Commonwealth	77.982	28-6	69.791	+0, +0.073
44	San Diego St	77.509	24-7	71.409	+0, -0.208
45	Harvard	77.441	25-4	69.556	+2, -0.028
46	New Mexico St	77.303	24-9	69.409	+13, +0.587
47	Drexel	77.258	27-6	68.492	-1, -0.219
48	Tennessee	77.233	17-14	73.863	-3, -0.348
49	North Carolina St	77.225	22-12	72.929	+12, +0.617
50	Seton Hall	77.192	20-12	73.299	+6, +0.465
51	South Florida	77.171	19-13	74.445	-2, +0.109
52	Arizona	77.147	23-11	71.043	+0, +0.245
53	St Bonaventure	76.847	20-11	71.963	+19, +0.855
59	Ohio U.	76.618	26-7	69.479	-2, -0.101
62	South Dakota St	76.523	25-7	68.956	-4, -0.195
70	Davidson	75.798	24-7	68.300	-2, -0.479
77	Lehigh	75.398	25-7	66.579	+5, +0.352
85	Colorado	74.650	21-11	72.002	+20, +1.047
88	Montana	74.543	23-6	66.465	+2, +0.125
98	Lamar	73.923	21-11	68.848	+16, +0.834
103	Detroit Mercy	73.668	20-13	70.010	+13, +0.635
122	UNC-Asheville	72.509	21-9	67.032	+4, -0.086
125	Loyola-Maryland	72.325	24-8	68.357	+7, +0.096
129	Vermont	72.089	23-11	66.344	+17, +0.635
147	LIU-Brooklyn	71.205	25-8	66.390	+13, +0.591
180	Norfolk St	68.984	24-8	66.027	+1, -0.034
186	Western Kentucky	68.661	15-18	70.000	+19, +0.792
227	Mississippi Valley St	66.609	21-12	66.358	-6, -0.477