Friday, October 13, 2023

2023 USTA League Nationals Week 3 Day 1 Observations

The first day of week 3 of 2023 USTA League Nationals is in the books, here is a recap.

The 40 & Over 4.5 men has six 2-0 teams, and only two of them play each other, so five remaining unbeaten is possible, but the updated simulation says it is unlikely.  The four teams most likely to advance are Texas, Southern, Florida, and Eastern.

The 40 & Over 4.5 women is where the first team match tie happened for 2023, Eastern and SoCal splitting the four matches 2-2, each having a win in a super tie-break to have the teams tie on sets 5-5, and then they tied on games 37-37.  New England gets the win because they won court 1 doubles, and that contributed to their 2-0 record so far.  Note their other win was also 2-2, but they won one more set than their opponent.  Close!

And being 2-0, New England joins Missouri Valley, Intermountain, Texas, and Mid-Atlantic as unbeaten teams.  But several of these play each other, so no chance of five 4-0 teams.  In fact, teams with one loss have a great chance of advancing still, e.g. Northern, Middle States, and SoCal.

The 18 & Over 3.0 men and women have a few late matches still going, so this doesn't reflect a full day 1, but the 3.0 men have a 15% chance four 4-0 teams, and three of them likely.  NorCal, Southwest, SoCal, and Caribbean likely to advance.

The 3.0 women have even more matches still going, so things can certainly change, but they also have almost no shot of even four 4-0 teams.  NorCal and Florida should advance, with Intermountain, PNW, SoCal, and Missouri Valley vying for the last two spots.

It should be exciting on Saturday!

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