Tuesday, December 2, 2025

Analyzing 2025 USTA NTRP year-end ratings - Bump rates by level and gender

The 2025 year-end NTRP ratings have been published and that means we get to take a look at how ratings have changed.

In this post I'll take a look at bump rates by level and gender.

First, here are the overall bump rates by level for 2025.

2025 Bump Rates by Level

For comparison, here was last year.

2024 Bump Rates by Level

The rates are not dramatically different, but 2025 bump ups are perhaps a little lower with about 12.5% of 3.0s being bumped up compared to nearly 15% in 2024.  At the 3.5 level also slightly lower at 7% versus 7.5%, but 4.0s are right about the same and 4.5s perhaps a little higher.

But doing it by gender is more interesting, here are the women in 2025.

2025 Bump Rates by Level - Women

And for comparison, 2024.

2024 Bump Rates by Level - Women

Similar, at 3.5 and below the bump up percentage is down a bit, but at 4.0 and 4.5, perhaps slightly higher.

And then the men.

2025 Bump Rates by Level - Men

And 2024.
2024 Bump Rates by Level - Men


Again, similar here.

So at the lower levels, while bump rates remain higher there than at higher levels, the bump rates are trending down slightly from last year.




4 comments:

  1. Interesting to see confirmation of what I thought I was seeing, which was an increase in bump downs for women at 3.0/3.5. That, paired with a slight decrease in bump ups, makes an interesting shift in players.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Does it mean that 3.0/3.5 players are ever increasing, and 4.5/5.0 ever decreasing?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 5.0 and 2.5 are decreasing, the rest seem to increase. 4.5 gets all those people bumped down from 5.0 for instance.

      Delete
    2. Unless that’s percentage based on the y axis, then you can’t really say based on the chart since we don’t know the total number of people at each level

      Delete