Monday, July 2, 2012

Appealing your USTA early start rating? Let me know the results!

Early start ratings are out, at least for the Pacific Northwest Section of the USTA, and for some, getting bumped up is a cherished accomplishment that validates the effort made in improving their game, but for others, it is an unwanted burden of having to play (and lose more than win?) at the next level up.  If you fall into the latter camp, or even the former camp but still want to play at the lower level, there is a process for appealing the early start rating.

As I understand it, an automatic appeal will be granted if one's rating is within a tolerance of the bottom of the rating they are in.  For folks 60 and over, it is 0.10 and for everyone else I believe it is 0.05.  Thus, if you were a 4.0 rated player (actual rating in the range of 3.51-4.0) and are now a 4.5 (4.01-4.5) on the early start list, if your actual rating is 4.01-4.05 you should be able to appeal down.

A side effect of this is that if your appeal is successful, you pretty much know what your actual rating was (within 0.05).  And if it is denied, you know your rating is at least above the threshold.  For my ratings, knowing this type of information is invaluable as it allows me to tune and recalibrate player's ratings which in turn will make estimates going forward more accurate.

So, if you appeal your rating, or know anyone that has, please leave a comment to this post or contact me to let me know the result.  By doing so, you'll make the ratings I publish more accurate in the future and everyone can benefit from that.

Thanks for your help!

4 comments:

  1. Hi Kevin,

    Do you know if a C rated player can get bumped up during the season for going undefeated?

    What are my chances of getting bumped up end of season? Coming from SF, and we are the SF 4.5 City Champs. I'm a 4.5 who went 9-0.

    Thx,

    Wes

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    1. Wes,

      You could be asking one of two questions, so I'll try to answer both.

      A C rated player is someone that played enough matches in the previous year to be rated by the computer (C). Players in this category can play at their rated level for all leagues for that current year. This means these players are not subject to dynamic disqualification. So if your question is asking if you can be DQ'd for going undefeated, the answer is no. C rated players are not subject to dynamic DQs.

      However, should you have leagues for next year (2013) that start their play early (fall of 2012), some sections will publish early start ratings to be used for these early start leagues. The purpose of this is to try to make sure players that will move up or down at the end of the year get placed in the right level league. As a C rated player you are subject to having an early start rating that may bump you up.

      As far as if you will or won't be bumped up, that is impossible to say from just your record. It all depends on the actual match scores and who specifically you played and what their ratings were. I hope to have the data to compute estimated rating for other sections soon but don't yet.

      Thanks for reading and the comment.

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  2. Thanks for your thoughts!

    I guess it's the self rated player on my team who I have worries about. He's our singles player, and we fear he will get DQed in Districts and/or Sectionals, since his opponent in the City Final TANKED his match and lost 0 and 1 to our player.

    If the player actually tried, then I think it would be closer to 6-3, 6-3. Our singles player had shoulder surgery and has a 65mph server as a result.

    The computer is making things really messed up for players who just want to TRY and do their best!

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    Replies
    1. Yes, self rated players are subject to dynamic rating DQs. To be DQ'd, they need to have 3 strikes against them, a strike being any individual match rating that is above the DQ threshold for the NTRP level. So a single match like you describe may generate a strike, but one match by itself won't cause the player to be DQ'd.

      Unfortunately, tanking matches does happen, either to avoid getting strikes or to make sure one won't be bumped up, or to try to make an opponent get a strike to cause them to be DQ'd. I don't like or approve of such behavior, and would discourage my ratings being used to identify what matches to tank, because such results skew the ratings as a whole and defeats their purpose.

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