The logical next step is to drill into the data and see if whatever was done was done consistently throughout the section or if some states were more/less impacted.
As a reminder and baseline, here is the distribution of Southern men by level.
See the earlier posting for all the details, but key thing is that there were and are still more 3.5s than 4.0s, and there were nearly twice as many 3.0s as 4.5s but those counts are now basically equal. Nationally there are about the same 3.5s and 4.0s and roughly the same 3.0s and 4.5s.
Alphabetically, we will start with Alabama.
Alabama definitely had 2.5s and 3.0s bumped up, and given the influx of them there were 3.5s bumped up too, although just a modest drop in count. There were a lot of 4.0s bumped up as the count went down despite the influx and the 4.5s were the beneficiaries, that count went way up as did the 5.0s. There are now significantly more 4.5s than 3.0s, but still more 3.5s than 4.0s.
Next, Arkansas.
Arkansas did have players bumped up from 2.5 through 3.5, those counts did go down from 2018 to 2019, but 4.0s and above had their counts go up, supportive of the hypothesis that there was a general redistribution towards the higher levels. Note that Arkansas still has fewer 4.0s than 3.5s but a lot closer than before, and it is nearly equal between the 3.0s and 4.5s.
Next, Georgia.
Georgia was only modestly out of whack with the national averages, but has almost no 2.5s now and 3.0s were bumped up too. More 3.5s were bumped up than came in and while there were a lot of bumps up to 4.5, the 4.0s grew. Georgia is now very close to the national averages with about the same number of 3.0s as 4.5s and 3.5s as 4.0s.
Next, Kentucky.
Kentucky had bump ups at 2.5 and 3.0, but a lot at 3.5 given their count went down even with the bump ups coming in 4.0 was the beneficiary with a big increase. 4.5 and 5.0 also went up significantly. There are now significantly more 4.0s than 3.5s and 4.5s than 3.0s. Kentucky was perhaps a state that did not need an adjustment to align with national averages, but still got it.
Next, Louisiana.
Louisiana also had bump ups, there are hardly any 2.5s anymore, and we see an increase in the number of 4.0s, 4.5s, and 5.0s. They are not yet to the national averages with way more 3.0s than 4.5s and noticeably more 3.5s than 4.0s.
Next, Mississippi.
Mississippi had a lot of bump ups at 3.0s and the number of 3.5s went up as a result. There were bump ups to 4.0 but more went from 4.0 to 4.5 and 4.5 to 5.0. Mississippi does have nearly as many 4.5s as 3.0s, but there are still a lot more 3.5s than 4.0s.
Next, North Carolina.
North Carolina had a fair number of bump ups from the lower levels, the 4.5s and 5.0s having the largest increase. They have more 4.5s than 3.0s now, and just a few fewer 4.0s than 3.5s. They have more 4.5s than 3.0s, but still a few more 3.5s than 4.0s.
Next, South Carolina.
Just a small percent of 2.5s bumped up, but quite a few 3.0s went to 4.0, with a lot of 3.5s to 4.0, and 4.5 and 5.0 both picked up some players. They are still biased towards the lower levels with a lot more 3.0s than 4.5s and a lot more 3.5s than 4.0s.
Last, Tennessee.
There are some remarkable changes here. 2.5s are non-existent, and nearly all 3.0s were bumped up to 3.5 where the count of 3.5s nearly tripled! There had to be some bump downs from 4.0 for that to happen and the 4.0s stayed about the same while the 4.5s and 5.0s here took precipitous drops. Tennessee is clearly an exception to the general bump up across the levels trend. This probably deserves more research on its own.
What do you think? Does this dovetail with what you've seen with your friends and teammates?
No comments:
Post a Comment