Next up the 3.0 levels. First the women.
As you might expect after seeing the 3.0 thru 4.0 analysis and how the bump ups go down as the levels go up, there are a lot more bump downs at 4.5. What is interesting is that Caribbean is the section with the most bump ups at over 8%. Only Middle States is close at just under 6%, everyone else is at 4% or lower.
Next the much awaited 4.5 men.
We see a similar trend, more bumps down at this level than the lower levels, except for Southern that had nearly 20% of 4.5s bumped up! That is a higher percentage than the 4.0s bumped up to 4.5 and the 3.5s bumped to 4.0. No other section was even close with only Texas at about 7.5% having noticeably more bump ups than down. Mid-Atlantic who won 4.5 Nationals was about an even split.
I have no explanation for this. IMHO the bump up rates for Southern at every level, but especially 4.5, can't be simply from normal year-end calculations and adjustments. There seems to have been an agenda to adjust and/or redistribute things in Southern for some purpose for 2020.
Stay tuned, more to come.
I concur with your assessment that especially the southern men being bumped up especially in the 4.5 and 5.0 range, that USTA has some type of agenda. This however affected us in that being in a small local tennis community there are no leagues for us to play in. You broke this down by gender , but more importantly you left out the age. The group that got affected most in our small area was 55 and above. Most of us are in our 60's and being bumped to a 5.0 really without any justification in terms of what our dynamic ratings were. None of us were really close to represent a 5.0 rating. Granted we have had success in USTA leagues even winning nationals in 2017 and 2018, but this should not justify a rating bump up. all of us would not stand a chance of competing with a 5.0 in singles. Being from a small tennis community we are fortunate enough to play with and against one another quite frequently and as a result of this make very good doubles team. I see this as giving us a possible edge in competition especially when at this level wins and loses are usually determined by Tie breakers.I feel that this system needs to be changed. Maybe instead of bumping up players the USTA should bump down more players and leave certain age groups alone or even have a separate rating system for persons above the age of 55.
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