Analyzing 2019 USTA NTRP year-end ratings - Section bump rates by gender

2019 year-end ratings have been published, and my analysis has begun.

I already took a look at bump rates by level comparing to past years, now on to some bump rates by section and gender.

Here are the overall bump rates by section.

We see some typical bump rates of 8-10% up and 4-5% down, but there is some variation by section.  Southern and Texas lead the way with bump ups with 13% and 11% respectively, Caribbean and Middle States at 10.2% and Mid-Atlantic at 10%.  Hawaii had the fewest bump ups at just over 7%, very close to their bump downs.  Caribbean joined Hawaii with the most bump downs but still under 7%.

But it is more interesting to look at things by gender too.  Here are the women.

There are no big outliers, but Caribbean, Mid-Atlantic, Middle States, and Northern are all just over 10%.  Hawaii and Missouri Valley had the fewest bump ups but still over 7%.

The men had more variation, here they are.

We see that Southern and Texas are the big outliers, Southern having over 21% of men bumped up!  Texas at nearly 14% would be high in most years as well.

With a section as large as Southern, a lot of bump ups numbers wise is expect, that this is an awfully high percentage and would seem to indicate some kind of adjustment.  This has happened in past years with other sections, Caribbean was last year with an astounding 45% bumped up, and Caribbean and PNW were over 20% in 2014, so Southern and to a lesser degree Texas have been singled out this year.

This mirrors the anecdotal evidence I'm hearing, but it will be interesting to split it out by level too.  Stay tuned for that.