We see some differences between the men (left) and women (right), although the top-4 sections for bump ups for both men and women are PNW, NorCal, SoCal, and Texas. The PNW 4.0 men were given the highest percentage of bump ups by a healthy margin but the SoCal women, and even the NorCal women beat out the PNW.
The Caribbean women had the largest percentage bumped down, but the men were bumped up more. Perhaps Caribbean should be the early favorites for 3.5 women Nationals next year.
Interestingly, the Northern men had a high percentage of bump ups even though neither 18+ nor 40+ made the semis at Nationals. They did finish second in their flight in 18+ but third in 40+ so this number of bump ups and the low percentage of bump downs for them is odd.
I love the data, but could you show the graphs with equal scale so we can more easily see the differences based on the size of the bars?
ReplyDeleteLooks like So. Cal won 4.0M title this year. And they beat PNW in the flight. Southern also beat PNW in the flight. So PNW finished #3 in the flight. Why does So.Cal have lower pump ups? And Southern is even much lower. Any idea?
ReplyDeleteMy personal theory, based on these limited statistics, my own personal review of PNW year end ratings, and a PNW captain's letter, is that increased weighting of benchmark calculations alone cannot account for at the very least the PNW men's bump ups. I suspect that the Nationals oversight committee applied some sort of flat, manual increase (probably some small decimal point, like .05-.1) to PNW men "to preserve the integrity" of the ratings system. If that is true, I guess its up to you how you feel about non-computer, non-data driven NTRP adjustments.
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