With the upsets and big wins by some teams yesterday, there are now 4 teams projected to finish the season undefeated.
Kansas State tops the list primarily because they've played their toughest games, and don't have a 13th game to play in the conference title game. The Big-12 is the strongest conference though and they still host Oklahoma State and Texas.
Oregon is next primarily because their remaining schedule took a hit with USC and Oregon State both losing. It is becoming increasingly possible, although perhaps not likely, that they could finish the season undefeated but lose out to K-State or Notre Dame in the BCS due to the computers.
And Alabama is now just just under a 65% chance, their big challenge being at LSU and then perhaps the toughest title game opponent in Georgia.
Notre Dame now has a better than 60% chance of finishing undefeated, their primary challenge being at USC in their final game.
The teams with one or fewer losses below, full list on the site.
| Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
| Kansas St | 12-0 | 79.2 | 0.0 | 19.0 |
| Oregon | 13-0 | 71.9 | 0.0 | 25.1 |
| Alabama | 13-0 | 64.7 | 0.0 | 30.5 |
| Notre Dame | 12-0 | 61.5 | 0.0 | 37.9 |
| Ohio State | 12-1 | 45.6 | 31.0 | 20.6 |
| Louisville | 11-1 | 49.4 | 13.5 | 35.3 |
| Boise St | 11-1 | 78.4 | 0.0 | 20.7 |
| Florida | 11-1 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 41.6 |
| Northern Illinois | 12-1 | 50.4 | 0.0 | 41.6 |
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