Week 9 NCAA College Basketball Tournament Teams Projection

Here is the updated projected 68 NCAA tournament teams using my rankings.  My methodology, for now at least, is to take the highest ranked team from each of the 31 conferences and select them as the automatic qualifier, and then select the next 37 highest ranked teams.  As teams actually automatically qualify, they will be used instead.

The list is below, but will also be posted on the web-site each week.

With this list, we can take a look at the last 4 in, first 4 left out, and other observations.

Differences from last week are that Arizona, Missouri State, Norfolk State, and Vanderbilt replace Denver, Morgan State, Northern Iowa, and Oregon State.

The last 4 at large teams making this list are Arizona, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, and Marshall.  The first 4 left out are Akron, Minnesota, Washington, and Illinois.

Stay tuned for more updates as the season progresses.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
1	Syracuse*	88.056	15-0	70.033	+3, +0.959
2	Ohio State*	87.593	13-2	70.389	+1, +0.405
3	Kentucky*	86.856	13-1	69.520	+4, +0.701
4	Missouri*	86.358	13-0	65.339	-3, -1.309
5	Baylor	86.317	12-0	70.342	-3, -1.109
6	North Carolina*	86.194	13-2	70.482	+0, -0.435
7	Michigan St	85.340	13-2	70.906	+6, +1.471
8	Indiana	84.782	13-1	69.694	+1, -0.284
9	Duke	84.742	12-1	73.205	+6, +1.012
10	Florida	83.936	11-3	70.480	-2, -1.673
11	St Mary's CA*	83.750	11-2	70.713	+13, +1.397
12	Kansas St	83.669	11-1	69.192	+0, -0.299
13	Kansas	83.616	10-3	72.209	+4, +0.198
14	Georgetown DC	83.590	11-1	69.688	+4, +0.280
15	Murray St*	83.568	11-0	70.409	-1, -0.261
16	UNLV*	83.322	13-2	71.966	-6, -1.508
17	Wisconsin	83.140	12-3	69.682	-12, -3.854
18	St Louis U.*	82.525	11-2	68.393	+3, -0.224
19	Creighton*	82.100	11-2	71.167	+1, -0.765
20	Louisville	82.033	12-2	70.656	-4, -1.393
21	California*	81.604	12-3	70.037	+1, -1.095
22	Gonzaga	81.602	11-2	71.469	+10, +1.398
23	Wichita St	81.393	9-3	71.270	+0, -1.245
24	New Mexico	81.050	11-2	70.465	+22, +1.968
25	Virginia	80.831	12-1	64.966	+0, -1.050
26	Seton Hall	80.728	12-2	70.935	+7, +0.593
27	Alabama	80.585	10-3	71.878	+2, -0.208
28	Brigham Young	80.573	10-4	70.307	-2, -1.232
29	Ohio U.*	80.464	11-1	69.664	-10, -2.737
30	Connecticut	80.410	12-1	69.524	-3, -1.246
31	Marquette	80.302	12-2	70.507	-20, -4.356
32	Oklahoma	80.089	10-2	68.305	+3, -0.004
33	Memphis*	79.947	8-5	74.354	+7, +0.281
34	Long Beach St*	79.676	5-6	79.231	-4, -0.559
35	Harvard*	79.627	11-1	70.630	-4, -0.597
36	Virginia Tech	79.549	11-3	69.965	+16, +0.623
37	Texas	79.385	10-3	68.292	+6, -0.054
38	Michigan	79.350	11-2	68.829	+3, -0.265
39	Middle Tennessee St*	79.262	12-2	69.009	+0, -0.441
40	West Virginia	79.170	10-4	72.435	-2, -0.608
41	San Diego St	79.062	11-2	70.162	+7, +0.081
42	Mississippi St	78.984	13-2	68.184	+2, -0.242
43	Missouri St	78.964	8-5	74.177	+32, +3.079
44	St Joseph's PA	78.951	10-4	71.851	+9, +0.318
45	Purdue	78.834	12-3	68.871	+11, +0.538
46	Southern Miss	78.633	11-2	71.230	-9, -1.232
47	Belmont*	78.407	8-5	72.763	+3, -0.528
48	VA Commonwealth*	78.080	10-3	70.204	+11, +0.356
49	Stanford	77.959	12-2	67.456	+2, -0.968
50	Florida St	77.857	8-5	70.937	-14, -2.138
51	Temple	77.851	9-3	73.894	-4, -1.151
52	Marshall	77.838	8-4	72.195	-24, -3.597
53	Northwestern	77.718	11-3	71.159	-4, -1.253
54	Vanderbilt	77.634	9-4	70.838	+19, +1.735
55	Arizona	77.467	10-4	70.550	+11, +0.377
57	Wagner*	77.328	10-3	70.675	+8, +0.159
61	North Dakota St*	77.094	9-3	68.445	+6, +0.158
64	Iona*	76.908	10-3	71.899	-19, -2.239
72	Lehigh*	76.228	10-4	69.007	+4, +0.407
74	New Mexico St*	76.090	8-5	70.522	-20, -2.364
79	Lamar*	75.387	7-5	74.046	-11, -1.442
88	Cleveland St*	74.692	11-3	72.158	-1, -0.303
92	Davidson*	74.407	7-4	73.061	-3, -0.568
113	Weber St*	72.725	8-3	69.256	+9, +0.166
130	Charleston Southern*	71.734	6-4	69.836	-18, -1.401
135	Norfolk St*	71.504	9-4	70.373	-11, -0.939
193	Vermont*	68.462	6-8	69.194	-13, -0.763
250	Mississippi Valley St*	65.295	1-11	79.856	+14, +0.910