Updated 2012 Superbowl Odds

Here is the computer's updated chance of getting to and winning the Superbowl.

Home field advantage is still important, Green Bay and New England still being the favorites.  New Orleans has a better chance than the 49ers though as they won their wildcard game and the computer rates them ahead of San Francisco, even though with home field advantage it picks the 49ers in their head to head matchup.

Denver and the Giants have the worst chances, below 6% of even getting to the Superbowl.

Team	Conference	Superbowl
Green Bay	0.556	0.345
New England	0.587	0.284
New Orleans	0.198	0.110
San Francisco	0.190	0.096
Baltimore	0.241	0.091
Houston	0.123	0.041
NY Giants	0.056	0.022
Denver	0.049	0.011

Update: corrected error 1/9 AM