Saturday, October 16, 2021

Quick update on week three of 2021 USTA League Nationals

It is Saturday morning which means one day is in the books for the third week of 2021 USTA League Nationals.

The 40 & Over 3.5 women has five teams at 2-0 with another seven at 1-1, and my simulation now says just two will finish 4-0 with a 4-way tie for two spots at 3-1.  Eastern, Caribbean, SoCal, and Intermountain will be trying to join Florida and NorCal in the finals.

The 40 & Over 3.5 men has six teams at 2-0, but just one with a most likely record of 4-0 now.  This leaves a 5-way tie for three spots, could be a tight tie-breaker with teams tied a 9-7 on courts with Middle States, Eastern, NorCal, Texas, and Florida in it to join Midwest.

The 18 & Over 4.0 women has five 2-0 teams and the simulation likes three to get to 3-0 (Florida, Texas, Middle States) with New England, Southern, Mid-Atlantic, and NorCal vying for the last spot.

The 18 & Over 4.0 men also has five 2-0 teams, and here the most likely records are 3-1 for five teams, but I can't imagine at least one doesn't get to 4-0 as two have over a 40% chance of it.  But look for Intermountain, Northern, Texas, Midwest, and Southern to be in it, and a tight tie-breaker deciding it.

The 40 & Over 4.5 women has a whopping six teams at 2-0 and three are expected to get to 4-0, Southern, SoCal, and Florida, with a 3-way tie at 3-1 for the last spot with NorCal, Northern, and New England in it.

The 40 & Over 4.5 men also has six teams at 2-0 and here again three are expected to be 4-0, SoCal, Mid-Atlantic, and Texas, with a 4-way tie for the last spot with Northern, Southern, MoValley, and PNW vying for the spot.

The 55 & Over 7.0 women has five teams at 2-0 and two are expected to remain undefeated in Hawaii and Southern, then a 4-way tie for two spots with Texas, PNW, Florida, and Eastern in it.

The 55 & Over 7.0 men also have five teams at 2-0 and SoCal and Caribbean are expected to get to 4-0, and then Middle States, Texas, and Midwest will try to get the last two spots.

Good luck everyone!

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