Preliminary week 2 NFL ratings and rankings

Each NFL week is a bit frustrating from a rankings standpoint as there is a slew of games on Sunday, one Sunday night, and then we have to wait 24 hours for the week to complete and I can product the weekly ratings and rankings from my computer.  So I compute preliminary ratings to see what has changed and thought I'd share those this week.

So with one game yet to play, here are how things look.

The Patriots stay #1 over now #2 Green Bay and #3 Jets.  Baltimore drops a bunch of points but just 2 spots to #4 and Detroit continues to surprise moving to #5 followed by another surprise in Houston.  New Orleans is the big mover of the week righting the ship at the expense of Chicago just behind them.

Seattle brings up the rear nearly 3 points behind disappointing Kansas City.  The Monday night game is not stellar on paper, #27 vs #30, but should hopefully be competitive, but one of the teams will come out 0-2 and also take on the disappointing moniker.

Also, preliminary week 2 season projections appear below.  No real surprise with New England, Baltimore, and Green Bay at 12-4 or better, but see Houston now also projected to finish 12-4.  In the NFC the West winner may not have a losing record this year, and the wildcards could both come from the North.  The AFC West winner could match the NFC at just 8-8 though with the South and East potentially getting the wildcards.

Presently, in the Andrew Luck sweepstakes race, Carolina, Indianapolis, and Seattle are in a dead heat.  Seattle clearly needs him and Carolina already has their QB, but would Indianapolis take him if they had the pick?  If Peyton is nearing the end, could be a fortuitous set of events and QB succession for the Colts.

After the game tonight, the full week 2 ratings and rankings as well as projections will be posted.  And be sure to follow @computerratings on Twitter.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
1	New England	92.091	2-0	80.534	+0, +0.637
2	Green Bay	88.914	2-0	79.815	+1, -0.573
3	NY Jets	87.731	2-0	78.451	+2, +1.899
4	Baltimore	87.225	1-1	82.207	-2, -3.769
5	Detroit	87.171	2-0	76.359	+2, +2.605
6	Houston	86.901	2-0	75.754	+2, +2.806
7	New Orleans	86.722	1-1	87.321	+5, +4.079
8	Chicago	85.727	1-1	83.850	-4, -2.310
9	Buffalo	84.321	2-0	77.052	+2, +1.207
10	Philadelphia	84.187	1-1	79.898	-4, -1.302
11	Dallas	84.053	1-1	86.568	+4, +2.386
12	Tennessee	83.825	1-1	83.038	+9, +4.364
13	San Diego	82.616	1-1	84.712	-3, -0.682
14	Cincinnati	82.201	1-1	79.675	+0, +0.097
15	Washington	81.785	2-0	73.640	-2, -0.480
16	Oakland	81.752	1-1	83.335	+2, +1.476
17	Atlanta	80.979	1-1	84.957	-1, -0.669
18	Pittsburgh	80.589	1-1	78.566	-9, -2.791
19	Tampa Bay	80.366	1-1	82.252	+3, +0.934
20	San Francisco	79.405	1-1	73.980	+0, -0.316
21	Jacksonville	78.850	1-1	85.778	+2, -0.131
22	Miami	78.453	0-2	86.496	-5, -1.912
23	Minnesota	77.333	0-2	81.491	-4, -2.456
24	Cleveland	77.000	1-1	77.628	+2, +0.243
25	Arizona	76.957	1-1	77.346	+5, +3.392
26	Denver	76.349	1-1	78.977	+3, +2.399
27	NY Giants	76.322	0-1	84.785	-3, -2.569
28	Indianapolis	73.055	0-2	81.950	-3, -4.947
29	Carolina	72.907	0-2	82.936	+3, +2.242
30	St Louis	72.817	0-1	81.187	-2, -1.907
31	Kansas City	72.352	0-2	85.746	-4, -3.227
32	Seattle	69.907	0-2	82.997	-1, -3.416

Preliminary week 2 season projections:

Team	Record	% chance	% +1	% -1
Team	Record	% chance	% +1	% -1
New England	13-3	24.4	17.1	23.2
Baltimore	12-4	26.2	20.4	22.0
Green Bay	12-4	24.2	22.8	17.9
Houston	12-4	23.8	17.5	22.3
New Orleans	11-5	24.2	21.9	18.8
Detroit	11-5	23.5	20.7	19.1
NY Jets	11-5	23.1	18.8	20.4
Chicago	10-6	23.8	19.4	20.6
Dallas	10-6	22.4	16.5	21.8
Tennessee	10-6	21.7	15.9	21.6
Cincinnati	9-7	23.3	21.3	18.1
Philadelphia	9-7	21.9	20.7	17.2
Washington	9-7	21.7	21.0	16.6
Buffalo	9-7	21.6	21.0	16.5
Atlanta	8-8	23.0	21.4	17.7
San Francisco	8-8	22.8	18.8	20.1
Pittsburgh	8-8	22.3	20.3	18.0
Oakland	8-8	22.1	19.1	18.9
Tampa Bay	8-8	22.0	16.2	21.8
San Diego	8-8	21.9	20.9	16.9
Jacksonville	7-9	22.1	19.6	18.4
Arizona	7-9	21.8	21.6	16.0
Cleveland	6-10	23.0	22.1	16.9
Denver	6-10	22.4	16.6	22.0
Minnesota	5-11	23.3	18.6	20.9
Miami	5-11	22.5	20.9	17.6
NY Giants	5-11	22.3	21.0	17.3
Kansas City	4-12	24.1	18.5	22.2
St Louis	4-12	23.6	21.5	18.2
Carolina	3-13	26.5	21.1	21.8
Indianapolis	3-13	26.3	24.5	17.6
Seattle	3-13	24.2	23.2	16.9