Example Flight Simulation Report - Comparing pre-season to current simulation for a Seattle 4.5+ sub-flight

I just introduced a new flight simulation report to show the most likely records for teams based on thee strength of their roster and schedule in their flight.  This report is a nice complement to the flight reports I do that show full roster and top-8 averages for each team.

For the new report, there is no better way to see how it works than to give an example so here is one of the 40 & Over 4.5+ sub-flights in Seattle, showing what the pre-season simulation predicted, and what the simulation currently predicts based on matches played so far.

Team	Pre-Season	Current
MI-Dawson	5-3	7-1
NTC-Dalkin	7-1	6-2
CP-Laursen	6-2	6-2
HBSQ-Anderson	6-2	5-3
EDG-Ko	5-3	5-3
BETC-Nguyen	3-5	4-4
MC-Mark	2-6	2-6
RTC-Setoguchi	0-8	1-7
PSC-Charters	1-7	0-8

There haven't been too many surprises, the teams have the same or just one different for their predicted finish except for Mercer Island that has done better than expected and is now predicted to win the sub-flight where pre-season were in a tie for fourth.

The reason for this swap is they got a 3-2 win over NTC with one win in a match tie-break.  If that goes the other way, the current prediction is more in line with the pre-season one.  It can be a very fine line between the top team and a 3rd or 4th place team.

If you would like more details or are interested in any report on a flight, team, or individual, contact me.