2009 Week 16 College Football Ratings/Rankings and Summary

Ratings through week 16 (games played thru 20-Dec).  These are also at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/ncaa-football/ncaa-ratings.

With three bowl games played and the Division II and FCS playoffs complete, the ratings have been updated a bit.

There is no change in the top 6 positions but based on Fresno State doing worse than expected, Boise State falls 2 spots to #9.  Farther down the rankings Utah moves up 2 spots based on Wyoming's win and Houston drops 5 spots based on Southern Miss's loss.

And the computer has had an outstanding start to the bowl season going 3-0 against the spread.  It isn't doing so well picking winners going 1-2 but Vegas is 1-2 as well.  Full prediction performance here and if you are interested in a newsletter with additional details on picks against the spread, best picks, and locks, see this. See the bowl game previews posted thus far and subscribe if you want to get them e-mailed to you well in advance of the games.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
1	Alabama	92.169	13-0	72.305	+0, +0.097
2	Florida	87.369	12-1	71.382	+0, +0.116
3	Texas	86.481	13-0	69.492	+0, -0.045
4	TCU	85.778	12-0	65.291	+0, +0.392
5	Virginia Tech	82.611	9-3	72.743	+0, +0.002
6	Oregon	82.452	10-2	72.541	+0, +0.020
7	Arkansas	81.874	7-5	72.995	+1, +0.118
8	Cincinnati	81.723	12-0	66.967	+1, +0.346
9	Boise St	81.446	13-0	62.125	-2, -0.383
10	LSU	81.204	9-3	72.645	+0, +0.072
11	Oklahoma	80.264	7-5	70.467	+0, -0.006
12	Georgia Tech	80.006	11-2	72.611	+0, +0.081
13	Miami FL	79.175	9-3	71.662	+0, -0.028
14	Texas Tech	78.975	8-4	67.962	+0, -0.063
15	Oregon St	78.856	8-4	70.478	+0, +0.075
16	Stanford	78.508	8-4	70.660	+0, +0.045
17	Ohio State	78.353	10-2	66.182	+0, -0.044
18	Clemson	78.297	8-5	70.916	+0, +0.203
19	Nebraska	78.130	9-4	69.104	+0, +0.051
20	Mississippi	78.030	8-4	70.201	+0, +0.052
21	Pittsburgh	77.825	9-3	68.378	+1, +0.382
22	Tennessee	77.799	7-5	70.971	-1, +0.066
23	Auburn	77.510	7-5	73.091	+0, +0.085
24	Arizona	77.396	8-4	72.006	+0, +0.038
25	Penn State	76.963	10-2	64.350	+0, -0.011
26	Southern Cal	76.754	8-4	71.872	+0, +0.032
27	Oklahoma St	75.846	9-3	68.761	+0, -0.036
28	North Carolina	75.583	8-4	69.270	+1, +0.046
29	Iowa	75.508	10-2	67.843	-1, -0.033
30	Georgia	75.428	7-5	74.041	+0, +0.078
31	South Carolina	75.209	7-5	73.780	+0, +0.126
32	West Virginia	75.148	9-3	69.458	+0, +0.343
33	Connecticut	74.973	7-5	69.210	+0, +0.373
34	Brigham Young	74.667	10-2	66.452	+1, +0.352
35	Utah	74.525	9-3	66.007	+2, +0.358
36	Kentucky	74.514	7-5	69.642	-2, +0.126
37	Mississippi St	74.434	5-7	73.559	-1, +0.170
38	California	74.072	8-4	71.215	+0, +0.062
39	Rutgers	73.045	9-4	62.572	+9, +1.510
40	Florida St	72.687	6-6	73.246	+0, +0.160
41	Central Michigan	72.597	11-2	60.985	-2, +0.023
42	Boston College	72.520	8-4	68.600	+0, +0.086
43	Missouri	72.430	8-4	68.810	-2, -0.012
44	Washington	72.406	5-7	72.735	+0, +0.027
45	Texas A&M	72.310	6-6	69.795	+0, +0.002
46	Wisconsin	72.123	9-3	65.753	+0, -0.149
47	Notre Dame	71.956	6-6	69.926	+0, +0.038
48	Houston	71.903	10-3	63.294	-5, -0.488
49	Wake Forest	71.573	5-7	71.117	+0, +0.084
50	UCLA	71.416	6-6	72.576	+0, +0.060
51	Air Force	71.377	7-5	64.304	+0, +0.362
52	South Florida	71.128	7-5	67.251	+1, +0.430
53	Nevada	70.467	8-4	64.237	-1, -0.299
54	East Carolina	70.144	9-4	66.339	+0, -0.421
55	Navy	69.950	9-4	64.892	+0, -0.040
56	Michigan St	69.656	6-6	67.176	+0, -0.026
57	Arizona St	69.414	4-8	69.656	+0, +0.074
58	Troy	68.709	9-3	62.602	+2, +0.438
59	Kansas	68.515	5-7	69.530	+0, -0.106
60	Minnesota	67.904	6-6	69.651	+2, +0.019
61	Middle Tennessee St	67.849	10-3	60.578	+10, +1.392
62	Virginia	67.721	3-9	73.262	+1, -0.028
63	Iowa St	67.533	6-6	66.748	+2, +0.030
64	Kansas St	67.475	6-6	67.588	+2, +0.061
65	Fresno St	67.290	8-5	65.252	-7, -1.567
66	Purdue	66.909	5-7	67.832	+1, -0.040
67	Temple	66.885	9-3	60.638	+1, -0.001
68	Northwestern	66.704	8-4	63.045	+1, -0.022
69	Central Florida	66.679	8-5	65.147	-8, -1.582
70	Baylor	66.561	4-8	71.105	+0, +0.036
71	Duke	66.435	5-7	68.060	+2, +0.058
72	Ohio U.	66.361	9-4	62.409	+2, +0.048
73	Southern Miss	66.296	7-6	62.482	-9, -1.368
74	North Carolina St	66.254	5-7	67.351	+1, +0.146
75	Louisiana Tech	66.093	4-8	65.535	-3, -0.356
76	Bowling Green	65.802	7-5	63.843	+0, -0.002
77	Syracuse	65.082	4-8	68.875	+0, +0.361
78	Northern Illinois	64.580	7-5	58.852	+0, -0.018
79	Maryland	63.958	2-10	70.818	+2, +0.327
80	Marshall	63.827	6-6	65.821	-1, -0.442
80	Wyoming	63.827	7-6	67.754	+12, +1.643
82	Colorado	63.757	3-9	70.420	+1, +0.250
83	SMU	63.530	7-5	63.746	-3, -0.297
84	Illinois	63.399	3-9	68.520	-2, -0.172
85	Michigan	63.348	5-7	64.253	-1, -0.052
86	Vanderbilt	63.282	2-10	71.589	+0, +0.043
87	Alabama-Birmingham	62.843	5-7	65.328	-2, -0.403
88	Louisville	62.751	4-8	68.508	+0, +0.344
89	UNLV	62.612	5-7	66.607	+2, +0.332
90	Buffalo	62.231	5-7	62.351	-1, -0.095
91	Utah St	62.188	4-8	66.225	-4, -0.275
92	Indiana	62.041	4-8	65.855	+2, -0.054
93	Duke	66.435	5-7	68.060	-20, +0.058
94	Virginia	67.721	3-9	73.262	-31, -0.028
95	Idaho	61.995	7-5	64.191	-5, -0.299
96	Washington St	54.794	1-11	73.172	+12, -0.054
97	Wisconsin	72.123	9-3	65.753	-51, -0.149
98	West Virginia	75.148	9-3	69.458	-66, +0.343
99	Wyoming	63.827	7-6	67.754	-7, +1.643
100	Louisville	62.751	4-8	68.508	-12, +0.344
101	Kentucky	74.514	7-5	69.642	-67, +0.126
102	New Mexico St	50.820	3-10	63.851	+16, -0.288
103	Texas	86.481	13-0	69.492	-100, -0.045
104	Central Florida	66.679	8-5	65.147	-43, -1.582
105	Virginia Tech	82.611	9-3	72.743	-100, +0.002
106	East Carolina	70.144	9-4	66.339	-52, -0.421
107	Cincinnati	81.723	12-0	66.967	-98, +0.346
108	TCU	85.778	12-0	65.291	-104, +0.392
109	Tulane	53.569	3-9	64.474	+1, -0.433
110	Arizona St	69.414	4-8	69.656	-53, +0.074
111	Arkansas	81.874	7-5	72.995	-103, +0.118
112	Army	55.375	5-7	60.240	-7, +0.167
113	Boise St	81.446	13-0	62.125	-106, -0.383
114	UCLA	71.416	6-6	72.576	-64, +0.060
115	Florida Int'l	52.525	3-9	64.964	+2, +0.544
116	Syracuse	65.082	4-8	68.875	-39, +0.361
117	Notre Dame	71.956	6-6	69.926	-70, +0.038
118	Pittsburgh	77.825	9-3	68.378	-96, +0.382
119	Purdue	66.909	5-7	67.832	-52, -0.040
120	Stanford	78.508	8-4	70.660	-104, +0.045
45	Texas A&M	72.310	6-6	69.795	+0, +0.002
46	Wisconsin	72.123	9-3	65.753	+0, -0.149
47	Notre Dame	71.956	6-6	69.926	+0, +0.038
48	Houston	71.903	10-3	63.294	-5, -0.488
49	Wake Forest	71.573	5-7	71.117	+0, +0.084
50	UCLA	71.416	6-6	72.576	+0, +0.060
51	Air Force	71.377	7-5	64.304	+0, +0.362
52	South Florida	71.128	7-5	67.251	+1, +0.430
53	Nevada	70.467	8-4	64.237	-1, -0.299
54	East Carolina	70.144	9-4	66.339	+0, -0.421
55	Navy	69.950	9-4	64.892	+0, -0.040
56	Michigan St	69.656	6-6	67.176	+0, -0.026
57	Arizona St	69.414	4-8	69.656	+0, +0.074
58	Troy	68.709	9-3	62.602	+2, +0.438
59	Kansas	68.515	5-7	69.530	+0, -0.106
60	Minnesota	67.904	6-6	69.651	+2, +0.019
61	Middle Tennessee St	67.849	10-3	60.578	+10, +1.392
62	Virginia	67.721	3-9	73.262	+1, -0.028
63	Iowa St	67.533	6-6	66.748	+2, +0.030
64	Kansas St	67.475	6-6	67.588	+2, +0.061
65	Fresno St	67.290	8-5	65.252	-7, -1.567
66	Purdue	66.909	5-7	67.832	+1, -0.040
67	Temple	66.885	9-3	60.638	+1, -0.001
68	Northwestern	66.704	8-4	63.045	+1, -0.022
69	Central Florida	66.679	8-5	65.147	-8, -1.582
70	Baylor	66.561	4-8	71.105	+0, +0.036
71	Duke	66.435	5-7	68.060	+2, +0.058
72	Ohio U.	66.361	9-4	62.409	+2, +0.048
73	Southern Miss	66.296	7-6	62.482	-9, -1.368
74	North Carolina St	66.254	5-7	67.351	+1, +0.146
75	Louisiana Tech	66.093	4-8	65.535	-3, -0.356
76	Bowling Green	65.802	7-5	63.843	+0, -0.002
77	Syracuse	65.082	4-8	68.875	+0, +0.361
78	Northern Illinois	64.580	7-5	58.852	+0, -0.018
79	Maryland	63.958	2-10	70.818	+2, +0.327
80	Marshall	63.827	6-6	65.821	-1, -0.442
80	Wyoming	63.827	7-6	67.754	+12, +1.643
82	Colorado	63.757	3-9	70.420	+1, +0.250
83	SMU	63.530	7-5	63.746	-3, -0.297
84	Illinois	63.399	3-9	68.520	-2, -0.172
85	Michigan	63.348	5-7	64.253	-1, -0.052
86	Vanderbilt	63.282	2-10	71.589	+0, +0.043
87	Alabama-Birmingham	62.843	5-7	65.328	-2, -0.403
88	Louisville	62.751	4-8	68.508	+0, +0.344
89	UNLV	62.612	5-7	66.607	+2, +0.332
90	Buffalo	62.231	5-7	62.351	-1, -0.095
91	Utah St	62.188	4-8	66.225	-4, -0.275
92	Indiana	62.041	4-8	65.855	+2, -0.054
93	Idaho	61.995	7-5	64.191	-3, -0.299
94	Tulsa	61.770	5-7	62.847	-1, -0.399
95	Hawaii	61.301	6-7	62.987	+0, -0.308
96	UTEP	61.026	4-8	62.855	+0, -0.353
97	San Diego St	60.983	4-8	65.381	+0, +0.337
98	Colorado St	59.876	3-9	67.069	+0, +0.376
99	Kent St	58.958	5-7	60.368	+0, +0.009
100	Florida Atlantic	58.623	5-7	61.952	+1, +0.562
101	Western Michigan	58.241	5-7	60.589	-1, -0.001
102	Louisiana-Monroe	58.083	6-6	61.399	+0, +0.548
103	Toledo	57.465	5-7	62.210	+0, +0.083
104	Memphis	56.337	2-10	66.024	+0, -0.393
105	Louisiana-Lafayette	55.572	6-6	60.733	+1, +0.509
106	Arkansas St	55.560	4-8	59.106	+1, +0.583
107	Army	55.375	5-7	60.240	-2, +0.167
108	Washington St	54.794	1-11	73.172	+0, -0.054
109	Ball St	54.651	2-10	62.287	+0, +0.076
110	Akron	53.885	3-9	62.265	+1, +0.027
111	Tulane	53.569	3-9	64.474	-1, -0.433
112	Miami OH	53.556	1-11	67.326	+0, +0.007
113	North Texas	53.101	2-10	60.958	+2, +0.489
114	San Jose St	52.837	2-10	66.974	-1, -0.309
115	New Mexico	52.739	1-11	68.127	+1, +0.300
116	Florida Int'l	52.525	3-9	64.964	+1, +0.544
117	Rice	52.430	2-10	66.626	-3, -0.430
118	New Mexico St	50.820	3-10	63.851	+0, -0.288
119	Western Kentucky	46.022	0-12	61.760	+1, +0.494
120	Eastern Michigan	45.661	0-12	63.380	-1, +0.043