Sunday, July 31, 2016

More teams advance in USTA League playoffs - Maryland, Colorado, Utah, New Jersey, Delaware, New England, and more hold Flight or District playoffs

The path to Nationals goes through many stages for most teams, from local/flight playoffs, to Regionals/Districts/States, to Sectionals, and finally Nationals.  July and August are when playoffs really heat up and this weekend was no exception.

Maryland held their 18 & over Regionals, Colorado and Utah held 18 & over Districts, New Jersey held some 18 & over Regionals, and more areas had flight playoffs or Districts.

I was pleased to see several teams that have gotten team or flight reports advance.  In some cases they were favorites so expected to win, but the reports still helped them prepare and get their line-ups right to make sure there wasn't an upset.

Southern held some Sectionals a week ago, but August really gets going with most sections having Sectionals of some sort.

Whether you are headed to Sectionals or you are still going through earlier rounds of playoffs, team or flight reports are a great way to help scout your playoff matches.  Contact me for more information.

Friday, July 29, 2016

What USTA League playoffs are you playing in this month?

This is a busy time of year for USTA League playoffs as teams strive to make it to Nationals.  In some sections, notably in the southern states where they started play earlier in the year, Sectionals have already been or will be played in the next week or so.  Others are just playing local playoffs or Districts with Sectionals to be played later in August or even September.

Here are a few I'm aware of:

  • 7/29-31 - Northern Oregon Adult 40+ local playoffs
  • 7/29-31 - Northwest Washington Mixed 40+ local playoffs
  • 7/29-31 - Colorado 18+ Districts
  • 7/29-31 - New Jersey 18+ Regionals
  • 8/5-7 - NorCal Adult 18+ Districts
  • 8/5-7 - Texas Adult 18+ Sectionals (4.0 & up)
  • 8/12-14 - Pacific Northwest Adult 18+ Sectionals
  • 8/12-14 - SoCal Adult 18+ Sectionals
  • 8/12-14 - Texas Adult 18+ Sectionals (3.5 & below)
  • 8/19-21 - Eastern 18+ Sectionals
  • 8/19-21 - Southern Adult 40+ Sectionals
  • 8/26-28 - NorCal Adult 18+ Sectionals
  • 8/26-28 - Pacific Northwest Adult 40+ Sectionals
  • 8/26-28 - SoCal Adult 40+ Sectionals
  • 9/16-18 - Texas Adult 40+ Sectionals
  • 9/17-19 - Pacific Northwest Mixed 40+ Sectionals

What playoffs am I missing that you are following or playing at?

Monday, July 25, 2016

2016 USTA Southern 18+ Sectionals complete - Who is going to Nationals?

The 2016 Southern 18 & over Sectionals was this past weekend and with the completion, more teams are headed to Nationals.

In what I review below, I'm comparing teams using their top-8 average which is one of the tables provided in my sub-flight reports that are a great way to scout opponents.

The 2.5 Women found the favorite going in, Tennessee/Huffman, playing South Carolina/Strenck who had pulled a few upsets to get there.  Tennessee got the 2-1 win and is headed to Nationals.

The 2.5 Men just had a round-robin flight and the #3 and #4 seeds in Louisiana/Kingsley and Alabama/Sims both went 3-1 with Louisiana/Kingsley getting the nod for the title.

The 3.0 Women saw Arkansas/Boen, the narrow #4 seed in their flight winning over Alabama(B)/Jones, the #3 seed in their flight.

The 3.0 Men had Georgia/Rauber, the #1 overall seed, winning over Mississippi/Lawrence, the #1 seed in their flight.

The 3.5 Women had the top-2 overall seeds in the final with whopping 3.67 and 3.66 top-8 averages with #2 seed Alabama/Raggio coming out on top over Tennessee/Cooper.

The 3.5 Men saw Mississippi/Craig, the narrow #2 seed in their flight take the title over Arkansas/Terrell, the #3 seed in theirs.

The 4.0 Women had Arkansas/Coleman the last seed in their flight complete the upsets with a win over North Carolina/Lantry, the #3 seed in their flight.

The 4.0 Men saw Mississippi/Hardin, the last seed in their flight also complete the upsets win over Southern/South Carolina/Edwards, the #2 seed in their flight.

The 4.5 Women saw Mississippi/Foil, the top seed in their flight win over another last seed in Arkansas/Palecek.

The 4.5 Men had Georgia/DeWolf taking the title over Mississippi/Haddox, both #2 seeds in their flights.

The 5.0+ Women had a single flight with North Carolina/Vandemore going 4-0 as the #2 seed.

Last, the 5.0+ Men had North Carolina/May win it all beating North Carolina/Beecher, each the #1 seed in their flights.

Congratulations to all!

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Hypothetical USTA Eastern Long Island 2017 Early Start List

I've written about the USTA doing away with Early Start Lists and as a service have decided to publish some hypothetical Early Start Lists of my own.  I already published a list for SeattleSouthern Oregon, and Eastern Washington, and I already branched outside the Pacific Northwest the with Metropolitan Region district in the Eastern section, now here is the Long Island district.

But before you take a look at the list, the same comments and caveats as before still apply.
  1. The list is based on my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings.  This is not a list from the USTA and is not to be used for registering for Early Start Leagues.  It is only hypothetical.
  2. While my ratings are very accurate for the vast majority of players, they are not perfect and may be a few hundredths off in which case I could have a player at 3.52 and an early start 4.0 while their real rating is 3.49 which would be a 3.5.
  3. Early Start Ratings do not necessarily tell you what your year-end rating will be, even if you don't play any more matches.  Year-end calculations factoring in playoffs and how your area/district/section did in playoffs can move player's ratings up or down from the Early Start level.
  4. If you don't see your name and you expected a bump up/down, or you see your name and are surprised and want to know why, contact me at ratings@teravation.net and I can give you details on how to get an Estimated Dynamic NTRP Rating Report that will give all the background on why your estimated rating is where it is.
  5. Note that I'm publishing this list a bit early.  I think the Early Start List for this area was published in August last year, but folks were interested so I'm doing it now.

With that said, on to the list!  The below shows only those players that I estimate would be bumped up or down on the Early Start List and I simply show a name, city, and the hypothetical Early Start level.  If your name isn't shown, I estimate your rating to be unchanged.

First the women:

Name
City
Level
Ada Luz CoonertyGarden City3.0
Adele MancusoBrooklyn4.5
Aina EricksonSea Cliff4.5
alison brooks wallaceLloyd Harbor3.5
Alison Sannella GallowayBaldwin2.5
Alison SeippGlen Head3.5
Alistaire BambachGarden City3.5
Allison GreenbergDelmar5.0
Alyssa SepeRockville Centre3.5
amy chiangSyosset3.0
Amy DamelioCold Spring Harbor3.0
Anastassia SchlusselLawrence3.5
andrea dunbarGreenlawn3.5
Andrea NugentPort Jefferson Station3.5
Angela CastilloCloster4.5
Angela M. ScarnatoWantagh2.5
Anique LeeLong Beach3.0
Annabelle RosenzweigMerrick2.5
Anne McConvilleFort Salonga3.5
Antonella KarlinEast Rockaway5.0
Aphrodite VorillasManhasset4.0
Arlene P NorthcoteHalesite3.0
Armi VitiBabylon2.5
Barbara A. BordenHewlett3.5
Barbara PerriFloral Park3.5
Barbara T SchmidtRockville Centre2.5
Barbara YuskoSayville3.0
Belle TiaLevittown2.5
Beth CostaWest Babylon4.0
Beth L. MercanteLido Beach4.0
Bonnie LiebmanCommack3.5
Brenda P. RosenbergMelville4.0
Bridget ReynoldsEast Northport2.5
Carol DiamondRockville Ctr3.0
Caroline AustinStony Brook3.5
Carolyn Faith SchechnerBellmore2.5
Carolyn KrisOld Bethpage3.0
Caryn GallittoMerrick3.0
Catherine M. CrifasiMalverne3.0
Catherine WangBayside3.0
Cathy CaldwellCopiague3.0
Cheryl M. SegallSyosset4.5
Christine Kara PullianMerrick3.5
Christine R. KloudaPort Jefferson Station3.5
Cindy L CoulurisPatchogue3.0
Connie InsignaresE Northport3.5
Cori ForsterDix Hills2.5
Corinne MoschettiSayville3.5
Dale ElgortMelville4.0
Dana SlackmanCommack4.0
danielle paulusPort Jefferson3.0
Dawn H. YoungSayville3.5
Debbie FranksSelden4.5
Debbie GroarkLong Beach2.5
Debbie HungSetauket3.5
Deborah A. TrimboliMassapequa Park3.0
Deborah GageMerrick2.5
Deborah Sarah GallinSetauket2.5
deborah T defeliceCold Spring Harbor3.0
Devon CarrollCold Spring Harbor4.0
Diane MeyersLong Beach2.5
diane notoMerrick3.5
Donna HallasLevittown3.0
Doreen Lynn CookSmithtown4.0
Doris Ann DuignanLynbrook3.0
Elizabeth LevitBellmore4.0
Elizabeth M. KeelyOakdale4.0
Elizabeth MurrayGarden City3.5
Elizabeth SignoreGlen Head3.0
Ellen HuangFarmingdale3.5
Ellen HuhuleaRockville Centre4.5
Ellie WangSyosset3.5
Emma Julie BrandtHuntington4.0
Faith ReissMerrick3.5
Francine ZinercoSeaford4.0
Gaetana SmithLloyd Harbor3.0
Georgina MerrihewIslip3.5
Geri VerolaGlen Head3.5
Ginny McGowanHempstead3.5
Hali Rachel KatzWoodbury5.0
Heather MoskowitzWoodbury3.0
Heidi EspositoPort Washington4.5
Helen RubinWoodbury3.5
Helene G. MessilatyHewlett3.5
Ilene GlatmanCommack2.5
Iveta SciosciaEast Setauket3.0
Jaclyn L. MorrisonMerrick2.5
Jacqueline PeifferBethpage2.5
Jane BrownHuntington4.0
Jane D ThalerOyster Bay3.5
Janine DebellisCold Spg Hbr4.0
Jayne H GolubWoodbury3.0
Jean M SkolnickSayville3.0
Jean TanklowitzEast Meadow3.0
Jeanette RomanoEast Setauket4.0
Jeanne-Marie BuccellatoGarden City4.0
Jeannie LunaSmithtown3.0
Jemmifer FridmanHuntington Station5.0
Jen KellyManhasset3.5
Jenna LevinEast Meadow3.5
Jennifer MarshakEast Setauket4.0
Jennifer Rose SchonhoffSaint James3.5
Jennifer Suh-McCormackBayport4.0
Jenny BencardinoJericho2.5
Jerilyn JudGlen Head4.5
Jill Marie RectorLong Beach3.0
Joann EspositoHuntington3.0
Josefina M. EssexSayville3.0
Joy BorreroBayport3.5
Joy martinsenFort Salonga3.5
Judy DamoreSetauket4.0
julie mischoBayport3.5
Karen CalaceWest Palm Beach3.0
Karen DunbarLake Grove3.5
Karen E GroegerRockville Centre3.5
Karen LevineBellmore4.5
Kate KincaidHuntington4.0
Katherine VandeBergheCommack4.5
Kelly Ann MasonSetauket3.5
Kendall KutnerRockville Centre4.0
Kiki Sandra HaasCedarhurst3.5
Kim OricoliNorthport3.5
kim scanlonCommack3.5
Kirstin StickneyBrightwaters3.5
kris adamsPort Jefferson3.5
LaDonna YoushaWantagh3.5
Laura GreenfieldSmithtown3.5
Laureen CarapellucciAmityville2.5
Lauren CastellanoLong Beach4.0
Lauren SiegelDeer Park3.0
Laurie SchoenfeldDix Hills4.0
Leah CarrollEast Meadow3.0
leslie ann levchuckGreenlawn3.0
Lily TangBrooklyn3.5
Linda GoldsteinOceanside3.0
Linda KrauthamerCommack4.0
Linda SarfatiBellmore3.5
Lisa LandauBellmore4.0
Lorelei McGlynnNorthport2.5
Lori BaderOceanside3.5
Luzan MooreLong Beach4.0
Marci J. LastHewlett3.5
Marcie M. ZeitlinGreat Neck4.0
Margaret McNamaraHauppauge3.0
Maria J. MineoMount Sinai2.5
Marian B. MorrisLong Beach2.5
Marilena F DiScalaSyosset3.5
Marilyn M. DursoMassapequa3.5
Marisa RutaGarden City2.5
Marlaina TeichMerrick4.0
Mary Ann FergusonRockville Ctr3.0
Mary Margaret MohrmanSouthampton3.0
Mary McLeanEast Islip3.0
Mary N. O'GradyEast Northport3.0
Maryclair LeistmanGarden City3.0
Marylou McCabeWhite Plains3.0
Maxine Sharon OreskySyosset3.5
mehves sucatoAstoria4.0
melissa reichbachRoslyn3.0
Melissa SchneiderOceanside2.5
Micheline LaurentEast Northport3.5
michelle nuccioMerrick3.5
Milta R. MarylesEast Northport3.5
Mina FournarisSetauket2.5
MINA MANDELBAUMRoslyn Hts3.5
Mindy D. EhrlichCommack3.0
Misha MonticcioloCoram4.0
Nancy DAmatoCommack3.5
Nancy LefkowitzManhasset4.0
Naomi glazerWoodbury2.5
Nikki UllmanHuntington Station3.5
Nina LitvinenkoMount Sinai3.5
Ninoska MalikMelville4.0
Pamela CharlesGreat Neck4.0
Patricia CalireLake Grove3.0
Peggy L MaslowPort Washington3.5
Penny ZagalisDouglaston3.5
Ramona Adriana WeinsteinRockville Centre4.0
Rekha GuptaGlen Head3.5
Robin BarenCommack3.0
ROKSOLANA SHYYKAsouth setauket2.5
Rosalynn SteeleLong Beach3.0
Salpi CooperstoneMerrick3.5
Shari BrownMerrick3.5
Shelley Van BlerkomBayside3.5
Sloane A BarrieJericho3.0
Sondra GlueckGreat Neck4.0
Staci D. GuraBellmore4.0
Stephanie FeinMerrick4.5
Susan A. BaceyDix Hills4.5
Susan BarryRockville Centre3.5
Susan MayHuntington3.0
Susan MerolaMerrick3.0
Susan SpagnoliStony Brook2.5
Suzanne M. SullivanRockville Ctr4.0
Suzanne PrezorskiDeer Park3.0
Sydney Betts VorosSetauket3.0
Tara KellyRockville Centre3.5
tatiana frekhtmanWoodmere3.0
Terri CiaramelloEast Rockaway3.5
Terry ReichValley Stream2.5
Theoni AnagnostouMerrick3.5
Therese DirenzoOyster Bay3.5
Tracey ReyhaniWoodbury2.5
Tracy KleinbergDix Hills3.5
Tricia Y KaplanMount Sinai2.5
Troy HoltSetauket4.0
Virginia RossOyster Bay3.5
wendy funkBellmore4.5
Wendy Lee JannyStony Brook4.5
Wendy StechmanSeaford3.5
Wendy StreigoldValley Stream4.5
Yvonne EvelynHuntington3.5
Zebo SokolskiyHewlett2.5
Zsuzsa PriceBay Shore3.5

And the men:

Name
City
Level
adam jagodaOakdale4.0
Alan G. SchoenbergOceanside3.5
Andreas BernerNew York4.0
Anthony J LeggioCentereach3.5
Arkady FrekhtmanWoodmere3.5
asher abitbolWest Hempstead3.5
Benjamin L MazzaBellmore3.5
brian ketoverWoodbury4.0
Cameron DanielsOakland Gardens5.0
Cecil M. HollinsLaurelton4.0
Charles ZadoffLynbrook3.0
Chris A MoralesAstoria5.0
Dane PhillipsPlainview4.5
Danny KreshCommack4.0
Darren SenzonStamford4.0
David BermanMerrick3.5
David J. BrentWoodmere4.0
David NgEast Williston3.5
Devang Madhu Parmarauburndale5.0
dilip s nairIslip3.5
Ernesto PuteriSeaford3.5
Gary J McNultySmithtown4.5
gary kittredgeMiller Place3.5
George H BrooksNorthport4.0
Gregg DiNinoEast Meadow4.0
Gregory CiuffoMerrick4.0
Horst SteinsdoerferLevittown4.0
HSIAOPIN LIUFarmingdale4.0
Ivor ChanRosedale3.5
Jason PesselRockville Centre4.0
Jayson BlauForest Hills4.5
Jeffrey M. De WeeverFarmingdale4.5
Jerry ChangSands Point4.5
Jim WaltherCopiague3.5
john cisselSaint James4.0
John K YooSetauket4.0
John Thomas JamesEast Patchogue4.0
Jonathan KleinCarle Place5.0
Jonathan P NelsonSetauket4.0
Joseph PolestinoGreenlawn5.0
Joseph TabakValley Stream4.0
Joshua SlifkinForest Hills5.0
Julian DicksonWyandanch3.5
Kenneth GaudioMiller Place4.5
Kevin DroutmanLake Grove4.0
Kevin KimRocky Point4.5
Kevin PetersManorville4.0
Lawrence HamFreeport3.5
Marc Spencer WernerNew York4.5
Mario MontoyaEast Setauket3.5
Mariusz JaskowskiMalverne3.5
Mark E DalyForest Hills4.0
Mark FischlHuntington5.0
Mark FreeleyEast Setauket3.5
Mark H GoldmanPort Washington4.0
Mark Julian BakerNorth Baldwin5.0
Matthew SpindlerRoslyn4.5
Michael CohenMerrick3.0
Michael Joseph CasamassimaSmithtown4.5
Michael SlutskyStony Brook3.0
Michael YeamansFarmingville3.5
mike solowRockville Centre4.0
Patrick M. RuddickMassapequa Park4.0
Peter HsiehGreat Neck3.5
Peter MorgisArmonk4.0
Phil MonticcioloCoram3.0
Ralph P HabibNorthport4.0
Rick Y. ChenFresh Meadows4.0
Robert KaisermanSetauket3.5
Robert M MorgilloPlainview4.0
Robert S. ChesneyMalverne4.5
Robert Thomas LynchMount Sinai3.5
Ross BinderMerrick4.0
Ryan T. MusaloMassapequa Park5.0
Shane LefebvreDeer Park4.0
Shashikanth SevananKings Park3.5
Stan YurynetsRockville Centre3.5
steve gellerEast Quogue4.5
Stuart KamelharBellmore3.5
Talbert A IsaacsJamaica4.0
Timothy ShelleyLong Beach3.5
Vikram GuptaBayside4.5
Wayne FreemanPort Jefferson Station3.5

Friday, July 22, 2016

USTA Southern 2016 18 & over Sectionals Day 1 Review

Day 1 is complete at the Southern 18+ sectionals and here is how things stand for a few select flights.

The 3.0 Men Flight II saw the favorite in the flight, Louisiana-Potter/Richardson, race out to a 2-0 record while form held behind them with the two lowest rated teams going winless and the two mid-pack teams both picking up a win.

The 3.5 Women Flight II has the favorite, Alabama-Raggio with a 2-0 record, while North Carolina-Sheeler was expected to vie for 2nd in the flight but is 0-2.

The 4.0 Men Flight I saw the favorite, Alabama-Fusaiotti go 2-0, but the upstart in the flight is Mississippi-Harden who had the lowest top-8 rating in the flight but had a nice 4-1 win today.

Last, the 4.5 Women Flight I has the favorite, North Carolina-Morris a surprising 0-1 after a close 3-2 loss, while the lowest rated team, Arkansas-Palacek is 1-0.

A lot of tennis still to be played.  Stay tuned for more updates or if you'd like to get a flight report and see who the favorites are or who their strong competition is, contact me.

USTA Southern 2016 18 & over Sectionals this weekend in Mobile

The Southern section is holding their 18+ sectionals this weekend in Mobile, AL.  Southern routinely does well at Nationals, so the teams that make it through this weekend could be favorites to win it all in the few months.

I'll check in over the weekend on progress and if things are going as the numbers say.

Thursday, July 21, 2016

No more Early Start Ratings, how will captains recruit and form their rosters? New info from the PNW section

If you are a regular reader of this blog, this is not news to you, I've written before that Early Start Ratings are gone for 2017 leagues and the PNW section elected to not allow bumped up players to play at their early start level at Sectionals.  Southern on the other hand is allowing players to play through Sectionals at their early start level even though they can't play at Nationals at that level.

What is new is that in another PNW newsletter today, they provided a link to a page saying more about the subject and going so far as to suggest teams think about the implications of bump ups and make sure they have players of appropriate levels to accommodate potential bumps.

For example, an 8.0 Mixed team may have a roster full of 4.0 men and women.  If any of those players were to be bumped up to 4.5, they would be ineligible to play at Sectionals as they would have to play with a 3.5.  So the suggestion is to have a 3.5 or two on the roster so the bumped up 4.5 can still play.  Now the 3.5 still has to have played their two matches to be eligible for Sectionals, so they may have to play as a "7.5" pair or the team needs to have a corresponding 4.5 for them to play with.  Note that if a 4.5 were to be bumped up, they could not play at all going forward as a 5.0/3.0 combination is not valid for 8.0 Mixed.

This can lead to some interesting recruiting and team formation.  Do you get strong players for their level and risk them being bumped up at year-end and wreaking havoc on the roster?  Do you avoid having just just players at one level to give some flexibility?  Or do you avoid having only the "best" players to try to ensure you don't have problems?

To try to help players with this, I've been publishing some hypothetical early start lists for several different areas, and will likely publish more, and folks can use these to see if I project players to be bumped up at this point.  You probably wouldn't want to get a complete roster of players projected to be bumped up!

But the early start lists I publish don't show the players that may be just a hundredth or so away and could be bumped up at year-end, nor can you tell how close a player is that is going to Sectionals and could have their rating go up.  So if you'd like more information on a player or list of players, contact me and I can help with recruiting, player lists, team reports, or just regular individual reports to help you see where players are likely to be rated and their risk of being bumped up at year-end.

How are you going to form your early start team?