Wednesday, July 30, 2014

When should I default or retire from a USTA League match?

Let me start this post by saying I do not advocate defaulting or retiring from matches unless there is a valid reason.  And in the case of defaults, they should be communicated ahead of time so as to avoid inconveniencing players that have to arrange to make a match and potentially drive significant distance and don't want to show up to find out they have no match.

That said, there are implications on one's NTRP rating from retirements and defaults that is is good to be aware of.  So here goes.

I think everyone knows, and common sense dictates, that if a match is a complete default, it doesn't do anything for your rating one way or the other.  In fact, most defaults only have the "winning" team entered so there isn't even an opponent to calculate a rating against.  The defaults are entered as 6-0, 6-0 scores for sets and games won/lost purposes in team standings and for tie-breakers, but the score doesn't matter to the players' ratings.

But what about scenarios where a team or player show up late and tardiness penalties kick in?  In this case, the match is not defaulted but games/sets may be forfeited if a team is late but not so late to make the entire match a default.  This has the potential for impacting ratings in perhaps an unfair way as, to my knowledge, these scores are entered normally and there is nothing in the system to indicate how many games were actually played vs how many were from a tardiness penalty.

Thus, by being late and starting a match down 1-0, you have possibly hurt your rating as you've given up a game you might not have otherwise.  Worse, and I recently had a report customer where this happened, you might have to forfeit a set 6-0 and start the match at that point.  That will significantly affect a player's rating regardless of whether they win or lose.  Certainly one doesn't want to default the match if it could be won, and as I noted above it isn't really fair to all players involved to not get to play, especially if all the players are there, but if the match is likely a loss anyway and you don't mind the 6-0,6-0 result for the team standings, defaulting the match instead of playing it would likely be better for your NTRP rating.

As far as retirements go, my understanding is that there is a point in a match where enough of it is played and it becomes a match that is counted, but prior to that point if a retirement were to occur it wouldn't be counted.  I haven't seen an authoritative source and have heard differing views on what this point is, but believe it is most likely one set or 10 games.

So again, I would not advocate retiring in a match unless there is a real reason to do so, but if you are injured and clearly won't be able to continue and win the match and the injury is causing you to play well below your normal capability, if you don't want to adversely impact your rating you are better to retire before the first set is complete than to complete it and then retire.

Now, one might argue that retirements shouldn't be counted at all as they might not properly reflect the capabilities of each player.  But I think the idea is that a retirement occurs usually due to an injury that occurs during the match and if it is bad enough to be a retirement, it happens immediately.  In this case, the games played to that point were fairly played and it makes sense to include them.

The first issue with tardiness seems like a pretty serious flaw in the system.  Now, tardiness penalties are probably not that common, and when they occur it is probably just a game or two so it probably isn't a big deal.  But the full set penalty certainly impacts ratings in an unfair way it would seem.

What do you think?

Monday, July 28, 2014

USTA League playoffs continue, paths to advance, more report customers do so

This is a busy time of the year for USTA League play as rounds of playoffs continue to be played and more teams advance.  This weekend found some districts in the Midwest playing having their playoffs in various divisions and levels, and and the Southern section playing their doing the same.  And I'm sure there was other playoff activity.  And it is always fun to hear from report customers after playoffs to hear of their success, either individually or as a team, and their excitement to hear about how their matches have affected their NTRP dynamic rating.

Something that has always been interesting to me is how all the different sections and districts are organized. and how many rounds of playoffs a team may have to go through.

The shortest path is usually in a section like Hawaii, where simply beating out a few teams in local league play can be all that is required to advance.

In my section, the Pacific Northwest, we typically have local league play followed by local playoffs which serve as our Districts effectively, and then we advance to Sectionals.

In the South, states are aligned with districts and a team may have local playoffs to get to districts (states) and then on to Sectionals.

In the Midwest, the districts are smaller so a team may play Districts which gets them to States (Regionals), and then to Sectionals.

So it varies, and I guess the teams with a longer path just get the opportunity to play more, and isn't that the goal, to play more tennis?

Friday, July 25, 2014

More Interesting USTA League Stats - Middle States section strength of tennis players by NTRP level and district

Continuing in the series ofinteresting stats blog entries, here is how the Middle States districts compare.

The chart below shows the average NTRP rating by level for each district in the Middle States section of the USTA. Ratings used are the Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings used in calculating Individual and Team reports.

Here is a static image.


You can hover over each bar in the interactive chart and see what the average rating for that level in that district is.

Wednesday, July 23, 2014

More Interesting USTA League Stats - Inter-Mountain section strength of tennis players by NTRP level and district

Continuing in the series ofinteresting stats blog entries, here is how the Inter-Mountain districts compare.

The chart below shows the average NTRP rating by level for each district in the Inter-Mountain section of the USTA. Ratings used are the Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings used in calculating Individual and Team reports.

Here is a static image.

You can hover over each bar in the interactive chart and see what the average rating for that level in that district is.

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

More Interesting USTA League Stats - Midwest section strength of tennis players by NTRP level and district

Continuing in the series ofinteresting stats blog entries, here is how the Midwest districts compare.

The chart below shows the average NTRP rating by level for each district in the Midwest section of the USTA. Ratings used are the Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings used in calculating Individual and Team reports.

You can hover over each bar in the interactive chart and see what the average rating for that level in that district is.
Should the interactive chart above not render correctly, here is a static image.

Another scenario where a Computer (C) rated player had a successful grievance filed against them

I wrote last week about when a USTA NTRP C rating isn't really a C rating and I heard about another scenario today.

This player had played at a small college but self rated as a 2.5, got DQ'd to a 3.0, and had a year-end rating of 3.5, then while playing as a 3.5 had a grievance filed against them.  The USTA ignored the C rating and instead looked at what they should have self-rated at and DQ'd them and promoted them to be a 4.5.

So if you think you can slip one by and ignore your experience and the self-rate guidelines, watch out, you could have a grievance filed against you even after your get the coveted C rating.

Sunday, July 20, 2014

More Interesting USTA League Stats - Pacific Northwest section strength of tennis players by NTRP level and district

Sectionals in the Pacific Northwest section are coming up in August, so this interesting stats blog entry will tell us a bit about how the districts compare.

The chart below shows the average NTRP rating by level for each district in the Pacific Northwest section of the USTA. Ratings used are the Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings used in calculating Individual and Team reports.

You can hover over each bar in the interactive chart and see what the average rating for that level in that district is.
Looking at averages for players playing in each district, Northern Oregon and Northwest Washington lead the way for 3.0s, Southern Oregon for the 3.5s and 4.0s, and Alaska for the 4.5s.

Should the interactive chart above not render correctly, here is a static image.